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严重消瘦与社区获得性肺炎患者的死亡率相关:一项前瞻性观察性研究。

Severe thinness is associated with mortality in patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a prospective observational study.

作者信息

Lee Jungyoup, Kim Kyuseok, Jo You Hwan, Lee Jae Hyuk, Kim Joonghee, Chung Heajin, Hwang Ji Eun

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital.

Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital.

出版信息

Am J Emerg Med. 2015 Feb;33(2):209-13. doi: 10.1016/j.ajem.2014.11.019. Epub 2014 Nov 20.

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate the probability of 30-day mortality based on body mass index (BMI) assessment combined with pneumonia severity index (PSI) in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and to determine whether being underweight is an independent risk factor contributing to 30-day mortality.

BASIC PROCEDURES

A prospectively collected database was analyzed retrospectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine whether BMI is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with CAP by adjusting for PSI and other factors found significant in univariable analysis. Mortality predictability of BMI and PSI was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

MAIN FINDINGS

A total of 1403 patients were assessed in this study. In multivariable regression analysis, severe thinness (BMI<16 kg/m2), hypoalbuminemia (albumin<3.3 mg/dL), and PSI IV and V were predictive factors for 30-day mortality in patients with CAP. In terms of mortality prediction, the accuracy of PSI was 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.71) as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. When hypoalbuminemia was combined with PSI, the predictive accuracy significantly increased to 0.71 (95% CI, 0.66-0.75; P=.02). The addition of severe thinness to PSI and hypoalbuminemia further increased the accuracy significantly to 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70-0.78) (P=.005).

PRINCIPAL CONCLUSIONS

Severe thinness (BMI<16 kg/m2) was associated with 30-day mortality in patients with CAP, showing improved prognostic performance when combined with PSI. We propose that physicians consider a patient's nutritional state using BMI when predicting mortality in CAP.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨基于体重指数(BMI)评估结合肺炎严重程度指数(PSI)预测社区获得性肺炎(CAP)患者30天死亡率的可能性,并确定体重过轻是否为导致30天死亡率的独立危险因素。

基本步骤

对前瞻性收集的数据库进行回顾性分析。通过对PSI及单变量分析中发现的其他显著因素进行校正,采用多变量逻辑回归分析来确定BMI是否为CAP患者死亡率的独立预测因子。使用受试者工作特征曲线下面积分析评估BMI和PSI的死亡率预测能力。

主要发现

本研究共评估了1403例患者。在多变量回归分析中,重度消瘦(BMI<16 kg/m²)、低白蛋白血症(白蛋白<3.3 mg/dL)以及PSI IV级和V级是CAP患者30天死亡率的预测因子。在死亡率预测方面,通过受试者工作特征曲线下面积测量,PSI的准确性为0.67(95%置信区间[CI],0.63 - 0.71)。当低白蛋白血症与PSI结合时,预测准确性显著提高至0.71(95% CI,0.66 - 0.75;P = 0.02)。在PSI和低白蛋白血症基础上增加重度消瘦因素,准确性进一步显著提高至0.74(95% CI,0.70 - 0.78)(P = 0.005)。

主要结论

重度消瘦(BMI<16 kg/m²)与CAP患者的30天死亡率相关,与PSI结合时显示出更好的预后预测性能。我们建议医生在预测CAP患者死亡率时考虑使用BMI评估患者的营养状况。

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