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回复imai、keele、tingley 和 yamamoto 关于因果中介分析的评论。

Reply to commentary by Imai, Keele, Tingley, and Yamamoto concerning causal mediation analysis.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2014 Dec;19(4):488-92. doi: 10.1037/met0000022.

Abstract

This comment clarifies how structural causal models unify the graphical and potential outcome approaches to mediation, and why the resulting mediation formulas are identical in both frameworks. It further explains under what conditions ignorability-based assumptions are over-restrictive and why such assumptions require graphical interpretations before they can be judged for plausibility. Finally, the comment explains the key difference between traditional and modern methods of causal mediation, and demonstrates why the notion of mediation requires counterfactual rather than Bayes conditionals to be properly defined.

摘要

本评论澄清了结构因果模型如何将图形和潜在结果方法统一到中介分析中,以及为什么这两种框架得出的中介公式是相同的。它进一步解释了在什么条件下基于可忽略性的假设过于严格,以及为什么这些假设在进行合理性判断之前需要图形解释。最后,评论解释了因果中介的传统方法和现代方法之间的关键区别,并说明了为什么中介的概念需要反事实而不是贝叶斯条件来正确定义。

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