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评论 Pearl:理论结果对因果中介分析的实际意义。

Comment on Pearl: Practical implications of theoretical results for causal mediation analysis.

机构信息

Department of Politics.

Department of Political Science, Penn State University.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2014 Dec;19(4):482-7. doi: 10.1037/met0000021.

Abstract

Mediation analysis has been extensively applied in psychological and other social science research. A number of methodologists have recently developed a formal theoretical framework for mediation analysis from a modern causal inference perspective. In Imai, Keele, and Tingley (2010), we have offered such an approach to causal mediation analysis that formalizes identification, estimation, and sensitivity analysis in a single framework. This approach has been used by a number of substantive researchers, and in subsequent work we have also further extended it to more complex settings and developed new research designs. In an insightful article, Pearl (2014) proposed an alternative approach that is based on a set of assumptions weaker than ours. In this comment, we demonstrate that the theoretical differences between our identification assumptions and his alternative conditions are likely to be of little practical relevance in the substantive research settings faced by most psychologists and other social scientists. We also show that our proposed estimation algorithms can be easily applied in the situations discussed in Pearl (2014). The methods discussed in this comment and many more are implemented via mediation, an open-source software (Tingley, Yamamoto, Hirose, Keele, & Imai, 2013).

摘要

中介分析在心理和其他社会科学研究中得到了广泛应用。最近,一些方法学家从现代因果推理的角度为中介分析建立了正式的理论框架。在 Imai、Keele 和 Tingley(2010)的研究中,我们提出了一种因果中介分析的方法,该方法将识别、估计和敏感性分析在一个单一的框架中形式化。许多实质性的研究人员都使用了这种方法,在随后的工作中,我们还进一步将其扩展到更复杂的环境中,并开发了新的研究设计。在一篇富有洞察力的文章中,Pearl(2014)提出了一种替代方法,该方法基于比我们的假设更弱的一组假设。在本评论中,我们证明了我们的识别假设和他的替代条件之间的理论差异在大多数心理学家和其他社会科学家所面临的实质性研究环境中可能没有实际意义。我们还表明,我们提出的估计算法可以很容易地应用于 Pearl(2014)讨论的情况。本评论中讨论的方法以及更多的方法都通过 mediation 实现,mediation 是一个开源软件(Tingley、Yamamoto、Hirose、Keele 和 Imai,2013)。

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