Mohebbi Elham, Baneshi Mohammad Reza, Haji-Maghsoodi Saeedeh, Haghdoost Ali Akbar
Research Center for Modeling in Health, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
Research Center for Health Services Management, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
J Res Health Sci. 2014 Autumn;14(4):272-5.
More than a billion people have some form of disabilities worldwide. Persons living with a disability have many needs (including physically, mentally, and socially needs). Estimating the size of disabled population is a challenge in health systems. An innovative indirect method to estimate the size of populations is network scale up (NSU) having widely used for hidden populations. The method is based-on the social network of individuals. We assessed the capability of NSU to estimate persons living with a disability being a middle population (neither non-hidden nor hidden populations) in the Southeast of Iran (Kerman City, southeast Iran).
A total of 3052 of Kermanian people over 20 year old were interviewed by simple random sampling. We asked them whether they knew acquaintances with complete blindness, severe visual impairment, deafness, severe hearing impairment, limb defects, and mental retardation, if yes; we wanted them to count them.
Based on the network scale up method, the prevalence of the populations was estimated at 5.21/1000 in Kerman City where severe visual impairment was 1.35, mental retardation was 1.039, severe hearing impairment was 1.005, limb defects was 0.78, deafness was 0.59, and complete blindness was 0.56 (per 1000 inhabitants).
The results were not exactly comparable to previous studies using different methods such as surveys. Although the method has some limitations, considering its easiness and cost-effectiveness, modified NSU could be used when direct methods are not practicable.
全球超过10亿人患有某种形式的残疾。残疾人士有许多需求(包括身体、心理和社会需求)。在卫生系统中,估计残疾人口规模是一项挑战。一种创新的间接估计人口规模的方法是网络扩大法(NSU),该方法已广泛用于隐蔽人口的估计。该方法基于个人的社会网络。我们评估了网络扩大法在伊朗东南部(克尔曼市)估计残疾人口(属于中等规模人口,既非非隐蔽人口也非隐蔽人口)的能力。
通过简单随机抽样对3052名年龄在20岁以上的克尔曼人进行了访谈。我们询问他们是否认识完全失明、严重视力障碍、失聪、严重听力障碍、肢体缺陷和智力迟钝的熟人,如果认识,我们让他们数一数。
基于网络扩大法,克尔曼市的人口患病率估计为5.21/1000,其中严重视力障碍为1.35/1000,智力迟钝为1.039/1000,严重听力障碍为1.005/1000,肢体缺陷为0.78/1000,失聪为0.59/1000,完全失明为0.56/1000(每1000名居民)。
结果与以往使用不同方法(如调查)的研究不完全可比。尽管该方法有一些局限性,但考虑到其简便性和成本效益,在直接方法不可行时,可以使用改进的网络扩大法。