Faddy Helen, Dunford Melanie, Seed Clive, Olds Andrew, Harley David, Dean Melinda, Racloz Vanessa, McCarthy Suzi, Smith David, Flower Robert
Research and Development, Australian Red Cross Blood Service, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
School of Biomedical Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Ecohealth. 2015 Jun;12(2):347-53. doi: 10.1007/s10393-014-1005-0. Epub 2014 Dec 24.
Climate change is predicted to increase the transmission of many vector-borne pathogens, representing an increasing threat to a safe blood supply. In early 2011, Australia experienced catastrophic rainfall and flooding, coupled with increased arbovirus transmission. We used Ross River (RRV) and Barmah Forest (BFV) viruses as test cases to investigate the potential risk posed to Australia's blood supply after this period of increased rainfall . We estimated the risk of collecting an infected donation as one in 2,500-58,000 for RRV and one in 2,000-28,000 for BFV. Climate change may incrementally increase the arbovirus threat to blood safety.
据预测,气候变化会增加许多媒介传播病原体的传播,对安全血液供应构成越来越大的威胁。2011年初,澳大利亚遭遇了灾难性降雨和洪水,同时虫媒病毒传播增加。我们以罗斯河病毒(RRV)和巴马森林病毒(BFV)为例,调查了降雨增加期后对澳大利亚血液供应构成的潜在风险。我们估计,采集到一份受RRV感染的献血的风险为2500至58000分之一,而采集到一份受BFV感染的献血的风险为2000至28000分之一。气候变化可能会逐渐增加虫媒病毒对血液安全的威胁。