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挪威历史上,出生时的太阳活动可预测婴儿存活率和女性生育能力。

Solar activity at birth predicted infant survival and women's fertility in historical Norway.

作者信息

Skjærvø Gine Roll, Fossøy Frode, Røskaft Eivin

机构信息

Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway

Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway.

出版信息

Proc Biol Sci. 2015 Feb 22;282(1801):20142032. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2014.2032.

Abstract

Ultraviolet radiation (UVR) can suppress essential molecular and cellular mechanisms during early development in living organisms and variations in solar activity during early development may thus influence their health and reproduction. Although the ultimate consequences of UVR on aquatic organisms in early life are well known, similar studies on terrestrial vertebrates, including humans, have remained limited. Using data on temporal variation in sunspot numbers and individual-based demographic data (N = 8662 births) from Norway between 1676 and 1878, while controlling for maternal effects, socioeconomic status, cohort and ecology, we show that solar activity (total solar irradiance) at birth decreased the probability of survival to adulthood for both men and women. On average, the lifespans of individuals born in a solar maximum period were 5.2 years shorter than those born in a solar minimum period. In addition, fertility and lifetime reproductive success (LRS) were reduced among low-status women born in years with high solar activity. The proximate explanation for the relationship between solar activity and infant mortality may be an effect of folate degradation during pregnancy caused by UVR. Our results suggest that solar activity at birth may have consequences for human lifetime performance both within and between generations.

摘要

紫外线辐射(UVR)会抑制生物早期发育过程中的基本分子和细胞机制,因此早期发育期间太阳活动的变化可能会影响它们的健康和繁殖。尽管UVR对早期水生生物的最终影响已为人所知,但对包括人类在内的陆生脊椎动物的类似研究仍然有限。利用1676年至1878年挪威太阳黑子数的时间变化数据和基于个体的人口统计数据(N = 8662例出生),在控制母体效应、社会经济地位、队列和生态因素的同时,我们发现出生时的太阳活动(总太阳辐照度)降低了男性和女性成年后的生存概率。平均而言,在太阳活动极大期出生的个体寿命比在太阳活动极小期出生的个体短5.2年。此外,在太阳活动强烈年份出生的低社会地位女性的生育能力和终身繁殖成功率(LRS)有所降低。太阳活动与婴儿死亡率之间关系的直接解释可能是UVR导致孕期叶酸降解的影响。我们的结果表明,出生时的太阳活动可能会对人类代内和代际的终身表现产生影响。

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