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实用主义、数学模型以及预测与控制的科学理想。

Pragmatism, mathematical models, and the scientific ideal of prediction and control.

作者信息

Moore J

机构信息

UW-Milwaukee, Department of Psychology, 2441 E Hartford, Milwaukee, WI 53201, USA.

出版信息

Behav Processes. 2015 May;114:2-13. doi: 10.1016/j.beproc.2015.01.007. Epub 2015 Jan 14.

Abstract

Mathematical models are often held to be valuable, if not necessary, for theories and explanations in the quantitative analysis of behavior. The present review suggests that mathematical models primarily derived from the observation of functional relations do indeed contribute to the scientific value of theories and explanations, even though the final form of the models appears to be highly abstract. However, mathematical models not primarily so derived risk being essentialist in character, based on a particular view of formal causation. Such models invite less effective and frequently mentalistic theories and explanations of behavior. Models may be evaluated in terms of both (a) the verbal processes responsible for their origin and development and (b) the prediction and control engendered by the theories and explanations that incorporate the models, however indirect or abstract that prediction and control may be. Overall, the present review suggests that technological application and theoretical contemplation may be usefully viewed as continuous and overlapping forms of scientific activity, rather than dichotomous and mutually exclusive.

摘要

数学模型在行为定量分析的理论与解释中,即便并非必不可少,通常也被认为具有价值。本综述表明,主要从功能关系观察中推导出来的数学模型,确实有助于提升理论与解释的科学价值,尽管这些模型的最终形式看似高度抽象。然而,并非主要以此方式推导出来的数学模型,基于对形式因果关系的特定观点,有本质主义之嫌。此类模型会引发对行为的效果欠佳且往往是心理主义的理论与解释。可以从以下两方面对模型进行评估:(a) 负责其起源与发展的言语过程;(b) 由包含该模型的理论与解释所产生的预测与控制,无论这种预测与控制可能多么间接或抽象。总体而言,本综述表明,技术应用与理论思考可被有益地视为科学活动的连续且重叠的形式,而非二分且相互排斥的形式。

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