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利用因果关系图启动发展中国家农业流域土壤盐渍化管理中的利益相关者参与:以巴基斯坦雷奇纳多阿布流域为例。

Using causal loop diagrams for the initialization of stakeholder engagement in soil salinity management in agricultural watersheds in developing countries: a case study in the Rechna Doab watershed, Pakistan.

机构信息

Department of Bioresource Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Macdonald Campus, McGill University, Canada.

Department of Bioresource Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Macdonald Campus, McGill University, Canada.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2015 Apr 1;152:251-67. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.01.052. Epub 2015 Feb 11.

Abstract

Over the course of the last twenty years, participatory modeling has increasingly been advocated as an integral component of integrated, adaptive, and collaborative water resources management. However, issues of high cost, time, and expertise are significant hurdles to the widespread adoption of participatory modeling in many developing countries. In this study, a step-wise method to initialize the involvement of key stakeholders in the development of qualitative system dynamics models (i.e. causal loop diagrams) is presented. The proposed approach is designed to overcome the challenges of low expertise, time and financial resources that have hampered previous participatory modeling efforts in developing countries. The methodological framework was applied in a case study of soil salinity management in the Rechna Doab region of Pakistan, with a focus on the application of qualitative modeling through stakeholder-built causal loop diagrams to address soil salinity problems in the basin. Individual causal loop diagrams were developed by key stakeholder groups, following which an overall group causal loop diagram of the entire system was built based on the individual causal loop diagrams to form a holistic qualitative model of the whole system. The case study demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed approach, based on using causal loop diagrams in initiating stakeholder involvement in the participatory model building process. In addition, the results point to social-economic aspects of soil salinity that have not been considered by other modeling studies to date.

摘要

在过去的二十年中,参与式建模越来越被倡导作为综合、适应和协作水资源管理的一个组成部分。然而,成本高、时间长和专业知识不足等问题是参与式建模在许多发展中国家广泛采用的重大障碍。在本研究中,提出了一种逐步的方法来启动关键利益相关者参与定性系统动力学模型(即因果关系图)的开发。拟议的方法旨在克服低专业知识、时间和财政资源方面的挑战,这些挑战阻碍了发展中国家以前的参与式建模工作。该方法框架应用于巴基斯坦雷赫纳多阿布地区土壤盐度管理的案例研究,重点是通过利益相关者构建的因果关系图进行定性建模,以解决流域的土壤盐度问题。关键利益相关者群体制定了个别因果关系图,然后根据个别因果关系图构建整个系统的总体因果关系图,形成整个系统的整体定性模型。案例研究表明,基于使用因果关系图在参与式模型构建过程中启动利益相关者参与,该方法是有用的。此外,结果指出了迄今为止其他建模研究尚未考虑的土壤盐度的社会经济方面。

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