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2型糖尿病患者心力衰竭的预测——一项系统评价和荟萃分析。

Prediction of heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus- a systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Wang Ying, Negishi Tomoko, Negishi Kazuaki, Marwick Thomas H

机构信息

Menzies Research Institute Tasmania, 17 Liverpool Street, Hobart, TAS, Australia.

Menzies Research Institute Tasmania, 17 Liverpool Street, Hobart, TAS, Australia.

出版信息

Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2015 Apr;108(1):55-66. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2015.01.011. Epub 2015 Jan 20.

DOI:10.1016/j.diabres.2015.01.011
PMID:25686509
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a major cause of mortality and disability in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study sought to improve the assessment of HF risk in patients with T2DM-a step that would be critical for effective HF screening.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed on electronic databases including MEDLINE and EMBASE, using MeSH terms 'heart failure', 'risk factor', 'T2DM', 'cardiac dysfunction', 'stage B heart failure', 'incident heart failure', 'risk assessment', 'risk impact', 'risk score', 'predictor', 'prediction' and related free text terms. The search was limited to human studies in full-length publications in English language journal from 1946 to 2014. Univariable and multivariable relative risk (RR) and hazard ratio (HR) were obtained from each study.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies (n=1111,569, including 507,637 subjects with T2DM) were included in this analysis with a follow-up ranging from 1 to 12 years. Associations between incident HF and risk variables described in ≥3 studies were reported. This association was greatest for insulin use (HR 2.48; 1.24-4.99), HbA1c 7.0-8.0% (2.41; 1.62-3.59), 5 years increase in age (1.47; 1.25-1.73), fasting glucose (1.28; 1.10-1.51 per standard deviation) and HbA1c (1.18; 1.14-1.23 each 1% increase). After adjustment for confounders, there were strong associations with coronary artery disease (1.77; 1.31, 2.39), HbA1c ≥ 10% (1.66; 1.45-1.89), insulin use (1.43; 1.14-1.79), HbA1c 9.0-10.0% (1.31; 1.14-1.50), fasting glucose (1.27; 1.10-1.47 per standard deviation) and 5 years increase in age (1.26; 1.13-1.40).

CONCLUSION

Among patients with T2DM, five common clinical variables are associated with significantly increased risk of incident HF.

摘要

背景

心力衰竭(HF)是2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者死亡和残疾的主要原因。本研究旨在改善对T2DM患者HF风险的评估,这一步骤对于有效的HF筛查至关重要。

方法

在包括MEDLINE和EMBASE在内的电子数据库上进行系统的文献检索,使用医学主题词“心力衰竭”、“危险因素”、“T2DM”、“心脏功能障碍”、“B期心力衰竭”、“新发心力衰竭”、“风险评估”、“风险影响”、“风险评分”、“预测因子”、“预测”以及相关的自由文本词。检索限于1946年至2014年在英文期刊上发表的全文人类研究。从每项研究中获取单变量和多变量相对风险(RR)及风险比(HR)。

结果

本分析纳入了21项研究(n = 1111569,包括507637例T2DM患者),随访时间为1至12年。报告了≥3项研究中描述的新发HF与风险变量之间的关联。这种关联在胰岛素使用方面最为显著(HR 2.48;1.24 - 4.99)、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)为7.0 - 8.0%(2.41;1.62 - 3.59)、年龄增加5岁(1.47;1.25 - 1.73)、空腹血糖(每标准差1.28;1.10 - 1.51)以及HbA1c(每增加1%为1.18;1.14 - 1.23)时最为明显。在对混杂因素进行调整后,与冠状动脉疾病(1.77;1.31,2.39)、HbA1c≥10%(1.66;1.45 - 1.89)、胰岛素使用(1.43;1.14 - 1.79)、HbA1c为9.0 - 10.0%(1.31;1.14 - 1.50)、空腹血糖(每标准差1.27;1.10 - 1.47)以及年龄增加5岁(1.26;1.13 - 1.40)之间存在强关联。

结论

在T2DM患者中,五个常见的临床变量与新发HF风险显著增加相关。

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