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在直接经皮冠状动脉腔内血管成形术时代,80岁及以上ST段抬高型心肌梗死患者的长期生存情况:一项前瞻性队列研究。

Long-term survival in octogenarians and older patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction in the era of primary angioplasty: A prospective cohort study.

作者信息

Kvakkestad Kristin M, Abdelnoor Michael, Claussen Peter A, Eritsland Jan, Fossum Eigil, Halvorsen Sigrun

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Oslo University Hospital Ulleval, Norway University of Oslo, Norway.

Oslo Centre of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Oslo University Hospital, Norway.

出版信息

Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care. 2016 Jun;5(3):243-52. doi: 10.1177/2048872615574706. Epub 2015 Mar 9.

Abstract

AIM

We aimed to study in-hospital mortality and long-term survival in elderly compared to younger patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in the era of primary angioplasty.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a prospective cohort study. All consecutive STEMI-patients admitted to our hospital between September 2005-December 2011 were included in a local registry. Predefined variables were registered during hospital admission. Vital status was obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry with censoring date 31 December 2011. Adjusted effects of age ⩾80 years on in-hospital- and long-term mortality were determined using propensity score analysis. Of 4525 registered STEMI patients, 600 (13%) were octogenarians or older. In-hospital mortality was 17% in patients ⩾80 years and 4% in patients <80 years. In invasively treated patients (83% of patients ⩾80 years; 98% of patients <80 years), in-hospital mortality was 13% and 3.4%, respectively. Median follow-up time was 2.5 years. Three-year cumulative survival was 52% in patients ⩾80 years vs 89% in patients <80 years. In invasively treated patients ⩾80 years, three-year survival was 58%. The adjusted odds ratio of in-hospital mortality was 2.61 (1.94-3.52) and adjusted incidence rate ratio of long-term mortality was 4.07 (3.43-4.84) in very elderly compared to younger patients.

CONCLUSION

Short-term prognosis was acceptable in very elderly STEMI patients, especially in the invasively treated subgroup. However, only 52% of STEMI patients ⩾80 years were alive after three years of follow-up. Very elderly patients had 2.6 times higher risk of in-hospital mortality and 4.1 times the risk of not surviving during long-term follow-up compared to patients <80 years, after adjustment for confounding factors and selection bias.

摘要

目的

我们旨在研究在直接血管成形术时代,老年与年轻ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)患者的院内死亡率和长期生存率。

方法与结果

这是一项前瞻性队列研究。2005年9月至2011年12月期间我院收治的所有连续STEMI患者均纳入当地登记处。在住院期间记录预定义变量。通过挪威死亡原因登记处获取截至2011年12月31日的生命状态。使用倾向评分分析确定年龄≥80岁对院内和长期死亡率的调整效应。在4525例登记的STEMI患者中,600例(13%)为80岁及以上老人。≥80岁患者的院内死亡率为17%,<八岁患者为4%。在接受侵入性治疗的患者中(≥80岁患者的83%;<80岁患者的98%),院内死亡率分别为13%和3.4%。中位随访时间为2.5年。≥80岁患者的三年累积生存率为52%,<80岁患者为89%。在≥80岁接受侵入性治疗的患者中,三年生存率为58%。与年轻患者相比,高龄患者院内死亡率的调整优势比为2.61(1.94 - 3.52),长期死亡率的调整发病率比为4.07(3.43 - 4.84)。

结论

高龄STEMI患者的短期预后尚可,尤其是在接受侵入性治疗的亚组中。然而,随访三年后,≥80岁的STEMI患者中只有52%存活。在调整混杂因素和选择偏倚后,与<80岁患者相比,高龄患者的院内死亡风险高2.6倍,长期随访期间未存活风险高4.1倍。

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