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老年非ST段抬高型心肌梗死患者侵入性或保守性策略后的长期生存:一项前瞻性队列研究

Long-Term Survival after Invasive or Conservative Strategy in Elderly Patients with non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Prospective Cohort Study.

作者信息

Kvakkestad Kristin Marie, Gran Jon Michael, Eritsland Jan, Holst Hansen Charlotte, Fossum Eigil, Andersen Geir Øystein, Halvorsen Sigrun

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Oslo University Hospital Ullevål, Oslo, Norway,

Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway,

出版信息

Cardiology. 2019;144(3-4):79-89. doi: 10.1159/000503442. Epub 2019 Nov 5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The optimal management of elderly patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is still discussed. We aimed to study short- and long-term survival in NSTEMI patients ≥75 years managed with an invasive or a conservative strategy.

METHODS

NSTEMI patients admitted to Oslo University Hospital Ulleval during 2005-2011 were included consecutively in a prospective registry. Vital status until December 31, 2013, was obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. Patients ≥75 years were identified, and 30-day and 7-year survival were analyzed. Logistic- and Cox regression was used to estimate OR and hazard ratio (HR) for death in the invasive versus conservative group, adjusting for registered confounders.

RESULTS

There were 2,064 NSTEMI patients ≥75 years (48.2% women); 1,200 (58.1%) were treated with an invasive strategy, and were younger, more likely to be male and previously revascularized compared to 864 (41.9%) patients treated conservatively (p < 0.0001 for all). Survival at 30-day was 94.9% in the invasive and 76.6% in the conservative group. For 30-day survivors, 7-year survival was 47.4% (95% CI 42.9-51.8) and 11.6% (95% CI 8.3-15.6), respectively. After multivariate adjustment, an invasive strategy was associated with lower long-term risk (adjusted HR [aHR] 0.49 [95% CI 0.41-0.59]). Actual revascularization was associated with lower risk of long-term mortality compared to angiography only (aHRPCI 0.73 [95% CI 0.59-0.90], aHRCABG 0.43 [95% CI 0.28-0.65]).

CONCLUSION

In this real-life cohort of NSTEMI patients ≥75 years, 30-day survival was 95%, and 7-year survival was 47% with an invasive strategy. Revascularized patients had a superior long-term prognosis. With a conservative strategy, short- and long-term survival was lower, probably due to selection bias and unmeasured confounding.

摘要

背景

老年非ST段抬高型心肌梗死(NSTEMI)患者的最佳治疗方案仍存在争议。我们旨在研究采用侵入性或保守策略治疗的75岁及以上NSTEMI患者的短期和长期生存率。

方法

2005年至2011年期间入住奥斯陆大学医院乌勒瓦尔分院的NSTEMI患者连续纳入前瞻性登记研究。从挪威死亡原因登记处获取截至2013年12月31日的生命状态信息。确定年龄≥75岁的患者,并分析其30天和7年生存率。采用逻辑回归和Cox回归估计侵入性治疗组与保守治疗组的死亡比值比(OR)和风险比(HR),并对登记的混杂因素进行校正。

结果

共有2064例年龄≥75岁的NSTEMI患者(48.2%为女性);1200例(58.1%)接受侵入性治疗,与864例(41.9%)接受保守治疗的患者相比,年龄更小,男性比例更高,既往接受过血运重建的可能性更大(所有p值均<0.0001)。侵入性治疗组30天生存率为94.9%,保守治疗组为76.6%。对于30天幸存者,7年生存率分别为47.4%(95%CI 42.9 - 51.8)和11.6%(95%CI 8.3 - 15.6)。多因素调整后,侵入性策略与较低的长期风险相关(校正后HR [aHR] 0.49 [95%CI 0.41 - 0.59])。与仅行血管造影相比,实际血运重建与较低的长期死亡风险相关(经皮冠状动脉介入治疗aHRPCI 0.73 [95%CI 0.59 - 0.90],冠状动脉旁路移植术aHRCABG 0.43 [95%CI 0.28 - 0.65])。

结论

在这个75岁及以上NSTEMI患者的真实队列中,采用侵入性策略时,30天生存率为95%,7年生存率为47%。接受血运重建的患者长期预后更佳。采用保守策略时,短期和长期生存率较低,可能是由于选择偏倚和未测量的混杂因素所致。

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