Levenson Jill S, Zgoba Kristen M
Barry University, Miami Shores, FL, USA
New Jersey Department of Corrections, Trenton, NJ, USA.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2016 Aug;60(10):1140-58. doi: 10.1177/0306624X15573946. Epub 2015 Mar 10.
The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of sexual offender management policies on sex crime repeat arrest rates in Florida. Aggregate data for the period 1990 to 2010 were provided by the Florida Department of Law Enforcement. The repeat offense rate was defined as the proportion of arrests each year that were committed by individuals with a previous conviction in the same crime category. The average yearly repeat offense rate for sex crimes was 6.5%, which was consistently and significantly lower than rates for other crimes: 8.3% for non-sex assaults, 15.1% for robbery, 29.8% for drug offenses, and 11.6% for DUI. The average annual sexual repeat arrest rate prior to and after the implementation of sexual offender registration laws in 1997 was 4.9% and 7.5%, respectively, indicating a statistically significant increase. The average annual repeat arrest rates for non-sex assaults, robberies, drug crimes, and DUIs also increased after 1997. No significant differences were found when comparing the average annual percent change for sexual re-arrest (+3.47%) with non-sexual assault (+3.93%), robbery (-.73%), drug offenses (+1.59%), and DUI (+1.14). Sex crime repeat arrests in Florida do not appear to show a decline attributable to sex offender management policies implemented since 1997.
本研究的目的是调查性犯罪者管理政策对佛罗里达州性犯罪再次被捕率的影响。1990年至2010年期间的汇总数据由佛罗里达州执法部提供。再次犯罪率的定义是每年由同一犯罪类别中有前科的个人实施的逮捕比例。性犯罪的年平均再次犯罪率为6.5%,一直且显著低于其他犯罪的比率:非性侵犯为8.3%,抢劫为15.1%,毒品犯罪为29.8%,酒后驾车为11.6%。1997年实施性犯罪者登记法之前和之后,性犯罪的年平均再次被捕率分别为4.9%和7.5%,表明有统计学上的显著增加。1997年之后,非性侵犯、抢劫、毒品犯罪和酒后驾车的年平均再次被捕率也有所上升。将性犯罪再次被捕的年平均百分比变化(+3.47%)与非性侵犯(+3.93%)、抢劫(-.73%)、毒品犯罪(+1.59%)和酒后驾车(+1.14%)进行比较时,未发现显著差异。佛罗里达州的性犯罪再次被捕似乎并未因1997年以来实施的性犯罪者管理政策而下降。