Randall L V, Green M J, Chagunda M G G, Mason C, Archer S C, Green L E, Huxley J N
School of Veterinary Medicine and Science, University of Nottingham, Sutton Bonington Campus, Sutton Bonington, Leicestershire, LE12 5RD, United Kingdom.
School of Veterinary Medicine and Science, University of Nottingham, Sutton Bonington Campus, Sutton Bonington, Leicestershire, LE12 5RD, United Kingdom.
J Dairy Sci. 2015 Jun;98(6):3766-77. doi: 10.3168/jds.2014-8863. Epub 2015 Mar 28.
Lameness in dairy cows is a multifactorial and progressive disease with complex interactions between risk factors contributing to its occurrence. Detailed records were obtained from one United Kingdom dairy herd over an 8-yr period. Weekly locomotion scores were used to classify cows as not lame (score 1 to 2), mildly lame (score 3) and severely lame (score 4 to 5). These outcomes were used to investigate the hypothesis that low body condition score (BCS) is associated with an increased risk of lameness in dairy cows. Mixed effect multinomial logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between prior BCS and repeat lameness events during the longitudinal period of the study. Discrete time survival models were used to explore the relationship between prior BCS and first lifetime lameness events. In total, 79,565 cow weeks at risk were obtained for 724 cows. The number of lameness events was 17,114, of which 8,799 were categorized as mildly lame and 8,315 as severely lame. The median BCS was 2.25 (range, 0.75 to 4.25) and the mean body weight (BW) and age at first calving were 619.5 kg (range, 355.6 to 956.4 kg) and 25.8 mo (range, 20.5 to 37.8 mo), respectively. Subsets of the data were used in the discrete time survival models: 333 mild and 211 severe first lifetime lameness events in heifers (first lactation cows), and 81 mild and 49 severe first lifetime lameness events in cows second lactation or greater. Low BCS 3 wk before a repeated lameness event was associated with a significantly increased risk of lameness. Cows with BCS<2 were at greatest risk of mild or severe lameness, and an increased BCS above 2 was associated with a reduced risk of mild or severe lameness. Low BCS 16 or 8 wk before a first mild or severe lifetime lameness event, respectively, also had a positive association with risk of lameness in cows second lactation or greater. This provides evidence to support targeting management toward maintaining BCS to minimize the risk of lameness. Low BW (independent of BCS) and increased age at first calving above 24 mo were also associated with increased long-term risk of repeated lameness events. Overall, the model explained 62 and 60% of the variability for mild and severe lameness, respectively, highlighting the importance of these variables as risk factors and hence where management could be targeted to significantly affect reducing the risk of lameness.
奶牛跛行是一种多因素的渐进性疾病,风险因素之间存在复杂的相互作用,导致其发生。在8年的时间里,从英国的一个奶牛群中获取了详细记录。每周的运动评分被用来将奶牛分为非跛行(评分1至2)、轻度跛行(评分3)和重度跛行(评分4至5)。这些结果被用于研究低体况评分(BCS)与奶牛跛行风险增加相关的假设。混合效应多项逻辑回归模型被用来研究研究纵向期间先前的BCS与重复跛行事件之间的关联。离散时间生存模型被用来探索先前的BCS与首次终身跛行事件之间的关系。总共为724头奶牛获得了79565个奶牛周的风险数据。跛行事件的数量为17114次,其中8799次被归类为轻度跛行,8315次为重度跛行。BCS的中位数为2.25(范围为0.75至4.25),首次产犊时的平均体重(BW)和年龄分别为619.5千克(范围为355.6至956.4千克)和25.8个月(范围为20.5至37.8个月)。数据子集被用于离散时间生存模型:小母牛(第一胎奶牛)中333次轻度和211次重度首次终身跛行事件,以及第二胎或更高胎次奶牛中81次轻度和49次重度首次终身跛行事件。重复跛行事件前3周的低BCS与跛行风险显著增加相关。BCS<2的奶牛发生轻度或重度跛行的风险最高,BCS高于2则与轻度或重度跛行风险降低相关。首次轻度或重度终身跛行事件前16周或8周的低BCS,分别也与第二胎或更高胎次奶牛的跛行风险呈正相关。这为支持以维持BCS为目标进行管理以最小化跛行风险提供了证据。低体重(独立于BCS)和首次产犊年龄超过24个月也与重复跛行事件的长期风险增加相关。总体而言,该模型分别解释了轻度和重度跛行变异性的62%和60%,突出了这些变量作为风险因素的重要性,因此也突出了管理可以针对的地方,以显著影响降低跛行风险。