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中国中高纬度地区热带多卫星降水分析3B42降水数据精度的时空分析

Spatio-temporal analysis of the accuracy of tropical multisatellite precipitation analysis 3B42 precipitation data in mid-high latitudes of China.

作者信息

Cai Yancong, Jin Changjie, Wang Anzhi, Guan Dexin, Wu Jiabing, Yuan Fenghui, Xu Leilei

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Forest and Soil Ecology, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, Liaoning, People's Republic of China; Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

State Key Laboratory of Forest and Soil Ecology, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, Liaoning, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2015 Apr 1;10(4):e0120026. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0120026. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Satellite-based precipitation data have contributed greatly to quantitatively forecasting precipitation, and provides a potential alternative source for precipitation data allowing researchers to better understand patterns of precipitation over ungauged basins. However, the absence of calibration satellite data creates considerable uncertainties for The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42 product over high latitude areas beyond the TRMM satellites latitude band (38°NS). This study attempts to statistically assess TMPA V7 data over the region beyond 40°NS using data obtained from numerous weather stations in 1998-2012. Comparative analysis at three timescales (daily, monthly and annual scale) indicates that adoption of a monthly adjustment significantly improved correlation at a larger timescale increasing from 0.63 to 0.95; TMPA data always exhibits a slight overestimation that is most serious at a daily scale (the absolute bias is 103.54%). Moreover, the performance of TMPA data varies across all seasons. Generally, TMPA data performs best in summer, but worst in winter, which is likely to be associated with the effects of snow/ice-covered surfaces and shortcomings of precipitation retrieval algorithms. Temporal and spatial analysis of accuracy indices suggest that the performance of TMPA data has gradually improved and has benefited from upgrades; the data are more reliable in humid areas than in arid regions. Special attention should be paid to its application in arid areas and in winter with poor scores of accuracy indices. Also, it is clear that the calibration can significantly improve precipitation estimates, the overestimation by TMPA in TRMM-covered area is about a third as much as that in no-TRMM area for monthly and annual precipitation. The systematic evaluation of TMPA over mid-high latitudes provides a broader understanding of satellite-based precipitation estimates, and these data are important for the rational application of TMPA methods in climatic and hydrological research.

摘要

基于卫星的降水数据对定量降水预报有很大贡献,并为降水数据提供了一个潜在的替代来源,使研究人员能够更好地了解无测站流域的降水模式。然而,缺乏校准的卫星数据给热带降雨测量任务(TRMM)多卫星降水分析(TMPA)3B42产品在TRMM卫星纬度带(北纬38°至南纬38°)以外的高纬度地区带来了相当大的不确定性。本研究试图利用1998 - 2012年众多气象站的数据,对北纬40°以北地区的TMPA V7数据进行统计评估。在三个时间尺度(日、月和年尺度)上的对比分析表明,采用月度调整在较大时间尺度上显著提高了相关性,从0.63提高到了0.95;TMPA数据总是表现出轻微的高估,在日尺度上最为严重(绝对偏差为103.54%)。此外,TMPA数据的性能在所有季节都有所不同。一般来说,TMPA数据在夏季表现最佳,但在冬季最差,这可能与冰雪覆盖表面的影响以及降水反演算法的缺陷有关。精度指标的时空分析表明,TMPA数据的性能逐渐提高并受益于升级;该数据在湿润地区比在干旱地区更可靠。应特别注意其在干旱地区和精度指标得分较低的冬季的应用。同样明显的是,校准可以显著改善降水估计,对于月度和年度降水,TMPA在TRMM覆盖区域的高估约为非TRMM区域的三分之一。对中高纬度地区TMPA的系统评估有助于更全面地了解基于卫星的降水估计,这些数据对于TMPA方法在气候和水文研究中的合理应用很重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5370/4382316/b245fa63c0b7/pone.0120026.g001.jpg

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