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利用卫星降水和雨量计观测驱动的分布式模型对湄公河流域水文过程进行建模

Modelling Hydrologic Processes in the Mekong River Basin Using a Distributed Model Driven by Satellite Precipitation and Rain Gauge Observations.

作者信息

Wang Wei, Lu Hui, Yang Dawen, Sothea Khem, Jiao Yang, Gao Bin, Peng Xueting, Pang Zhiguo

机构信息

Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, and Center for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

The Joint Center for Global Change Studies, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Mar 24;11(3):e0152229. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0152229. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

The Mekong River is the most important river in Southeast Asia. It has increasingly suffered from water-related problems due to economic development, population growth and climate change in the surrounding areas. In this study, we built a distributed Geomorphology-Based Hydrological Model (GBHM) of the Mekong River using remote sensing data and other publicly available data. Two numerical experiments were conducted using different rainfall data sets as model inputs. The data sets included rain gauge data from the Mekong River Commission (MRC) and remote sensing rainfall data from the Tropic Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM 3B42V7). Model calibration and validation were conducted for the two rainfall data sets. Compared to the observed discharge, both the gauge simulation and TRMM simulation performed well during the calibration period (1998-2001). However, the performance of the gauge simulation was worse than that of the TRMM simulation during the validation period (2002-2012). The TRMM simulation is more stable and reliable at different scales. Moreover, the calibration period was changed to 2, 4, and 8 years to test the impact of the calibration period length on the two simulations. The results suggest that longer calibration periods improved the GBHM performance during validation periods. In addition, the TRMM simulation is more stable and less sensitive to the calibration period length than is the gauge simulation. Further analysis reveals that the uneven distribution of rain gauges makes the input rainfall data less representative and more heterogeneous, worsening the simulation performance. Our results indicate that remotely sensed rainfall data may be more suitable for driving distributed hydrologic models, especially in basins with poor data quality or limited gauge availability.

摘要

湄公河是东南亚最重要的河流。由于周边地区的经济发展、人口增长和气候变化,它越来越多地受到与水相关的问题的困扰。在本研究中,我们利用遥感数据和其他公开可用数据构建了湄公河的分布式基于地貌的水文模型(GBHM)。使用不同的降雨数据集作为模型输入进行了两个数值实验。这些数据集包括湄公河委员会(MRC)的雨量计数据和热带降雨测量任务(TRMM 3B42V7)的遥感降雨数据。对这两个降雨数据集进行了模型校准和验证。与观测流量相比,雨量计模拟和TRMM模拟在校准期(1998 - 2001年)都表现良好。然而,在验证期(2002 - 2012年),雨量计模拟的性能比TRMM模拟差。TRMM模拟在不同尺度上更稳定可靠。此外,校准期分别改为2年、4年和8年,以测试校准期长度对这两个模拟的影响。结果表明,较长的校准期在验证期提高了GBHM的性能。此外,TRMM模拟比雨量计模拟更稳定,对校准期长度的敏感性更低。进一步分析表明,雨量计分布不均使得输入的降雨数据代表性更差且更不均匀,从而恶化了模拟性能。我们的结果表明,遥感降雨数据可能更适合驱动分布式水文模型,特别是在数据质量差或雨量计可用性有限的流域。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0300/4807033/90de93769951/pone.0152229.g001.jpg

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