Scherer Laura D, de Vries Marieke, Zikmund-Fisher Brian J, Witteman Holly O, Fagerlin Angela
Department of Psychological Sciences, University of Missouri, Columbia.
Department of Social Psychology, Tilburg University.
Health Psychol. 2015 Nov;34(11):1090-9. doi: 10.1037/hea0000203. Epub 2015 Apr 6.
Decision aids (DAs) play an increasingly critical role in supporting patients in making preference-sensitive treatment decisions. One largely untested assumption of DA design is that patients should be encouraged to deliberate carefully about their options after being informed of those options. The purpose of the present research is to test the impact of deliberative versus intuitive decision strategies in medical decision contexts.
In 3 experiments, participants were randomly assigned to make a hypothetical medical decision either intuitively, or using various deliberative strategies. In Study 1, we predicted that deliberation would improve decision confidence while not changing decisions. In Study 2, our aim was to establish whether the observed increase in confidence was due to decision-making effort, confirmation bias, or both. In Study 3, it was predicted that deliberation would cause participants to become more confident in suboptimal decisions.
Across 3 studies, participants who deliberated felt better about their decisions and decision process, even when the decision was the same as what would have been chosen intuitively (Studies 1 and 2), and even when the decision was normatively bad (Study 3). Study 2 additionally indicated that participants' confidence was driven by confirmation bias rather than effort justification.
Deliberative tasks may often fail to be an effective debiasing tool, and components of patient decision aids that ask patients to deliberate may serve to improve how patients feel without improving the quality of their decisions.
决策辅助工具(DAs)在支持患者做出偏好敏感型治疗决策方面发挥着越来越关键的作用。决策辅助工具设计中一个基本未经验证的假设是,在告知患者各种选择后,应鼓励他们仔细考虑这些选择。本研究的目的是测试在医疗决策情境中,深思熟虑型与直觉型决策策略的影响。
在3项实验中,参与者被随机分配,要么凭直觉,要么使用各种深思熟虑的策略来做出假设性的医疗决策。在研究1中,我们预测深思熟虑会提高决策信心,但不会改变决策。在研究2中,我们的目的是确定观察到的信心增加是由于决策努力、证实性偏差,还是两者兼而有之。在研究3中,预计深思熟虑会使参与者对次优决策更有信心。
在3项研究中,进行深思熟虑的参与者对自己的决策和决策过程感觉更好,即使决策与凭直觉做出的选择相同(研究1和2),甚至当决策在规范上不好时(研究3)。研究2还表明,参与者的信心是由证实性偏差而非努力合理性驱动的。
深思熟虑的任务可能常常无法成为一种有效的去偏工具,而患者决策辅助工具中要求患者进行深思熟虑的部分可能有助于改善患者的感受,而不会提高他们决策的质量。