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与火山灰、沙尘暴及其他环境颗粒物来源相关的急诊就诊情况:冰岛雷克雅未克的一项时间序列研究。

Emergency hospital visits in association with volcanic ash, dust storms and other sources of ambient particles: a time-series study in Reykjavík, Iceland.

作者信息

Carlsen Hanne Krage, Gislason Thorarinn, Forsberg Bertil, Meister Kadri, Thorsteinsson Throstur, Jóhannsson Thorsteinn, Finnbjornsdottir Ragnhildur, Oudin Anna

机构信息

Centre of Public Health Sciences, University of Iceland, Stapi v/Hringbraut, 101 Reykjavík, Iceland.

Unit of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, 90187 Umeå, Sweden.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2015 Apr 13;12(4):4047-59. doi: 10.3390/ijerph120404047.

Abstract

Volcanic ash contributed significantly to particulate matter (PM) in Iceland following the eruptions in Eyjafjallajökull 2010 and Grímsvötn 2011. This study aimed to investigate the association between different PM sources and emergency hospital visits for cardiorespiratory causes from 2007 to 2012. Indicators of PM10 sources; "volcanic ash", "dust storms", or "other sources" (traffic, fireworks, and re-suspension) on days when PM10 exceeded the daily air quality guideline value of 50 µg/m3 were entered into generalized additive models, adjusted for weather, time trend and co-pollutants. The average number of daily emergency hospital visits was 10.5. PM10 exceeded the air quality guideline value 115 out of 2191 days; 20 days due to volcanic ash, 14 due to dust storms (two days had both dust storm and ash contribution) and 83 due to other sources. High PM10 levels from volcanic ash tended to be significantly associated with the emergency hospital visits; estimates ranged from 4.8% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.6, 9.2%) per day of exposure in unadjusted models to 7.3% (95% CI: -0.4, 15.5%) in adjusted models. Dust storms were not consistently associated with daily emergency hospital visits and other sources tended to show a negative association. We found some evidence indicating that volcanic ash particles were more harmful than particles from other sources, but the results were inconclusive and should be interpreted with caution.

摘要

2010年埃亚菲亚德拉冰盖火山和2011年格里姆火山爆发后,火山灰对冰岛的颗粒物(PM)有显著贡献。本研究旨在调查2007年至2012年不同PM来源与因心肺疾病导致的急诊就诊之间的关联。当PM10超过每日空气质量指导值50 µg/m3时日子的日子里,PM10来源的指标;“火山灰”、“沙尘暴”或“其他来源”(交通、烟花和再悬浮)被纳入广义相加模型,并对天气、时间趋势和共污染物进行了调整。每日急诊就诊的平均次数为10.5次。在2191天中,PM10有115天超过了空气质量指导值;20天是由于火山灰,14天是由于沙尘暴(两天同时有沙尘暴和火山灰影响),83天是由于其他来源。来自火山灰的高PM10水平往往与急诊就诊显著相关;在未调整模型中,估计每天暴露的关联度为4.8%(95%置信区间(CI):0.6,9.2%),在调整模型中为7.3%(95%CI:-0.4,15.5%)。沙尘暴与每日急诊就诊之间的关联并不一致,其他来源往往呈现负相关。我们发现一些证据表明火山灰颗粒比其他来源的颗粒更有害,但结果尚无定论,应谨慎解释。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5486/4410232/78d50ea4e752/ijerph-12-04047-g001.jpg

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