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从城市健康角度看复杂性与动态性:系统动力学方法的基本原理

Complexity and dynamism from an urban health perspective: a rationale for a system dynamics approach.

作者信息

Tozan Yesim, Ompad Danielle C

机构信息

Global Institute of Public Health, New York University, New York, NY, USA.

出版信息

J Urban Health. 2015 Jun;92(3):490-501. doi: 10.1007/s11524-015-9963-2.

Abstract

In a variety of urban health frameworks, cities are conceptualized as complex and dynamic yet commonly used epidemiological methods have failed to address this complexity and dynamism head on due to their narrow problem definitions and linear analytical representations. Scholars from a variety of disciplines have also long conceptualized cities as systems, but few have modeled urban health issues as problems within a system. Systems thinking in general and system dynamics in particular are relatively new approaches in public health, but ones that hold immense promise as methodologies to model and analyze the complexity underlying urban processes to effectively inform policy actions in dynamic environments. This conceptual essay reviews the utility of applying the concepts, principles, and methods of systems thinking to the study of complex urban health phenomena as a complementary approach to standard epidemiological methods using specific examples and provides recommendations on how to better incorporate systems thinking methods in urban health research and practice.

摘要

在各种城市健康框架中,城市被概念化为复杂且动态的,但由于其狭窄的问题定义和线性分析表述,常用的流行病学方法未能直接应对这种复杂性和动态性。来自不同学科的学者长期以来也将城市概念化为系统,但很少有人将城市健康问题建模为系统内的问题。一般而言,系统思维,特别是系统动力学,在公共卫生领域是相对较新的方法,但作为对城市过程背后的复杂性进行建模和分析的方法,有望有效地为动态环境中的政策行动提供信息。这篇概念性文章通过具体例子回顾了将系统思维的概念、原则和方法应用于复杂城市健康现象研究作为标准流行病学方法的补充方法的效用,并就如何更好地将系统思维方法纳入城市健康研究和实践提出了建议。

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