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一项生态学研究:68个国家近亲结婚相关白血病的年龄标准化发病率

Age-standardized Incidence Rates for Leukemia Associated with Consanguineous Marriages in 68 Countries, an Ecological Study.

作者信息

Saadat Mostafa

机构信息

Department of Biology, College of Sciences, Shiraz University, Shiraz 71454, Iran.

出版信息

Mediterr J Hematol Infect Dis. 2015 Apr 22;7(1):e2015027. doi: 10.4084/MJHID.2015.027. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Consanguineous marriage that defines as a union between biologically related persons has a variety of known deleterious correlations with factors that affect public health within human populations. To investigate the association between the mean of inbreeding coefficient (α) and incidence of leukemia, the present ecological study on 68 countries was carried out. Statistical analysis showed that the age-standardized incidence rate of leukemia positively correlated with log10GNI per capita (r=0.699, df=66, P<0.001) and negatively correlated with log10α (r=-0.609, df=66, P<0.001). Controlling log10GNI per capita, a significant negative correlation between log10α and the age-standardized incidence rate of leukemia was observed (r=-0.392, df=65, P=0.001). The countries were stratified according to their annual GNI per capita, low and high-income countries with GNI per capita less than and more than 10,000$, respectively. Statistical analysis showed that in high-income countries, after controlling for log10GNI per capita, the correlation between the age-standardized incidence rate of leukemia and log10α was still significant (r=-0.600, df=36, P<0.001). It should be noted that there was no significant association between the age-standardized mortality rate due to leukemia and log10α (P>0.05). The present finding indicates that the rate of leukemia, age-standardized for incidence, is lower in countries with a high prevalence of consanguineous marriages.

摘要

近亲结婚被定义为有生物学亲缘关系的人之间的结合,它与影响人类群体公共健康的因素存在多种已知的有害关联。为了研究近亲繁殖系数(α)的均值与白血病发病率之间的关联,开展了针对68个国家的本次生态学研究。统计分析表明,白血病的年龄标准化发病率与人均国民总收入的对数(r = 0.699,自由度 = 66,P < 0.001)呈正相关,与对数α呈负相关(r = -0.609,自由度 = 66,P < 0.001)。在控制人均国民总收入对数的情况下,观察到对数α与白血病的年龄标准化发病率之间存在显著负相关(r = -0.392,自由度 = 65,P = 0.001)。这些国家根据其人均年度国民总收入进行分层,低收入国家和高收入国家的人均国民总收入分别低于和高于10,000美元。统计分析表明,在高收入国家,控制人均国民总收入对数后,白血病的年龄标准化发病率与对数α之间的相关性仍然显著(r = -0.600,自由度 = 36,P < 0.001)。应当指出的是,白血病的年龄标准化死亡率与对数α之间没有显著关联(P > 0.05)。目前的研究结果表明,在近亲结婚盛行率高的国家,白血病的年龄标准化发病率较低。

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