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以学校为基础的大麻使用预防措施的成本效益

Cost-Effectiveness of School-Based Prevention of Cannabis Use.

作者信息

Deogan Charlotte, Zarabi Natalie, Stenström Nils, Högberg Pi, Skärstrand Eva, Manrique-Garcia Edison, Neovius Kristian, Månsdotter Anna

机构信息

Karolinska Institutet, Public Health Sciences, 177 77, Stockholm, Sweden.

Dental and Pharmaceutical Benefits Agency, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Appl Health Econ Health Policy. 2015 Oct;13(5):525-42. doi: 10.1007/s40258-015-0175-4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Cannabis is the most frequently used illicit drug globally. Despite increasing evidence that cannabis use is associated with adverse health effects, the knowledge on preventative strategies is still limited. This study stemmed from a systematic review of effective prevention in which school-based programmes were identified as promising. The primary objective was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of Project ALERT (Adolescent, Learning, Experiences, Resistance, and Training), compared with ordinary ATOD (Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other Drug) education, among Swedish students in the eighth grade of compulsory school.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness analysis was performed from the societal perspective with quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) as an outcome (willingness-to-pay threshold €50,000) and follow-up periods from 1 year to a lifetime, considering a discounting rate of 3%, and with costs inflated to 2013 levels. A Markov model was constructed on the basis of the 'states' of single use, regular use, daily use and use of other illicit drugs, which were associated with 'complications' of psychosis, schizophrenia, traffic accidents, depression and amotivational syndrome. Health and cost consequences were linked to both states and complications.

RESULTS

The programme was cost saving on the basis of evidence from the USA (ratio 1:1.1), and was cost effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio €22,384 per QALY) after reasonable adjustment for the Swedish context and with 20 years of follow-up. When the target group was restricted to boys who were neither studying nor working/doing work experience, the programme was cost effective after 9 years and cost saving (ratio 1:3.2) after 20 years.

CONCLUSION

School-based prevention such as Project ALERT has the potential to be cost effective and to be cost saving if implemented in deprived areas. In the light of the shifting landscape regarding legalization of cannabis, it seems rational to continue the health economic analysis of prevention initiated here.

摘要

背景

大麻是全球使用最为频繁的非法毒品。尽管越来越多的证据表明使用大麻会对健康产生不良影响,但关于预防策略的知识仍然有限。本研究源于一项对有效预防措施的系统评价,其中以学校为基础的项目被认为具有前景。主要目的是评估“警惕计划”(青少年、学习、经历、抵抗和培训)相较于普通的酒精、烟草及其他毒品(ATOD)教育,在瑞典义务教育八年级学生中的成本效益。

方法

成本效益分析从社会角度进行,以质量调整生命年(QALYs)作为结果(支付意愿阈值为50,000欧元),随访期从1年到终身,考虑3%的贴现率,并将成本通胀至2013年水平。基于单次使用、经常使用、每日使用和使用其他非法毒品的“状态”构建了一个马尔可夫模型,这些状态与精神病、精神分裂症、交通事故、抑郁症和无动机综合征的“并发症”相关。健康和成本后果与状态及并发症均相关联。

结果

根据美国的证据,该项目具有成本节约效益(比率为1:1.1),在对瑞典情况进行合理调整并进行20年随访后,具有成本效益(增量成本效益比为每QALY 22,384欧元)。当目标群体仅限于既不学习也不工作/没有工作经历的男孩时,该项目在9年后具有成本效益,在20年后具有成本节约效益(比率为1:3.2)。

结论

像“警惕计划”这样的以学校为基础的预防措施,如果在贫困地区实施,有可能具有成本效益且能节约成本。鉴于大麻合法化形势的变化,继续在此开展预防措施的健康经济分析似乎是合理的。

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