The James Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen, AB15 8QH, UK.
School of Biological Sciences, Medical Biology Centre, 97 Lisburn Road, Belfast, BT9 7BL, UK.
Glob Chang Biol. 2015 Oct;21(10):3738-47. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12999. Epub 2015 Jul 3.
Climate change is expected to have an impact on plant communities as increased temperatures are expected to drive individual species' distributions polewards. The results of a revisitation study after c. 34 years of 89 coastal sites in Scotland, UK, were examined to assess the degree of shifts in species composition that could be accounted for by climate change. There was little evidence for either species retreat northwards or for plots to become more dominated by species with a more southern distribution. At a few sites where significant change occurred, the changes were accounted for by the invasion, or in one instance the removal, of woody species. Also, the vegetation types that showed the most sensitivity to change were all early successional types and changes were primarily the result of succession rather than climate-driven changes. Dune vegetation appears resistant to climate change impacts on the vegetation, either as the vegetation is inherently resistant to change, management prevents increased dominance of more southerly species or because of dispersal limitation to geographically isolated sites.
气候变化预计会对植物群落产生影响,因为预计气温升高将导致个别物种向两极分布。对英国苏格兰约 34 年后的 89 个沿海地点进行的重新访问研究的结果进行了检查,以评估可以归因于气候变化的物种组成变化程度。几乎没有证据表明物种向北撤退,或者表明由于气候变化,群落更多地由分布更靠南的物种主导。在一些发生重大变化的地点,这些变化是由木本物种的入侵或在一个实例中被移除所导致的。此外,对变化最敏感的植被类型都是早期演替类型,变化主要是演替的结果,而不是气候驱动的变化。沙丘植被似乎对气候变化对植被的影响具有抵抗力,要么是因为植被本身对变化具有抵抗力,管理防止了更靠南的物种的优势增加,要么是因为扩散限制了对地理上孤立的地点的影响。