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血小板与淋巴细胞比值作为胆囊癌的一种新型预后工具。

Platelet to lymphocyte ratio as a novel prognostic tool for gallbladder carcinoma.

作者信息

Pang Qing, Zhang Ling-Qiang, Wang Rui-Tao, Bi Jian-Bin, Zhang Jing-Yao, Qu Kai, Liu Su-Shun, Song Si-Dong, Xu Xin-Sen, Wang Zhi-Xin, Liu Chang

机构信息

Qing Pang, Ling-Qiang Zhang, Rui-Tao Wang, Jian-Bin Bi, Jing-Yao Zhang, Kai Qu, Su-Shun Liu, Si-Dong Song, Xin-Sen Xu, Zhi-Xin Wang, Chang Liu, Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, Shaanxi Province, China.

出版信息

World J Gastroenterol. 2015 Jun 7;21(21):6675-83. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i21.6675.

Abstract

AIM

To preliminarily investigate the prognostic significance of the platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with gallbladder carcinoma (GBC).

METHODS

Clinical data of 316 surgical GBC patients were analyzed retrospectively, and preoperative serum platelet and lymphocyte counts were used to calculate the PLR. The optimal cut-off value of the PLR for detecting death was determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The primary outcome was overall survival, which was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The log-rank test was used to compare the differences in survival. Then, we conducted multivariate Cox analysis to assess the independent effect of the PLR on the survival of GBC patients.

RESULTS

For the PLR, the area under the ROC curve was 0.620 (95%CI: 0.542-0.698, P = 0.040) in detecting death. The cut-off value for the PLR was determined to be 117.7, with 73.6% sensitivity and 53.2% specificity. The PLR was found to be significantly positively correlated with CA125 serum level, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, and tumor differentiation. Univariate analysis identified carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA125 and CA199 levels, PLR, TNM stage, and the degree of differentiation as significant prognostic factors for GBC when they were expressed as binary data. Multivariate analysis showed that CA125 > 35 U/mL, CA199 > 39 U/mL, PLR ≥ 117.7, and TNM stage IV were independently associated with poor survival in GBC. When expressed as a continuous variable, the PLR was still an independent predictor for survival, with a hazard ratio of 1.018 (95%CI: 1.001-1.037 per 10-unit increase, P = 0.043).

CONCLUSION

The PLR could be used as a simple, inexpensive, and valuable tool for predicting the prognosis of GBC patients.

摘要

目的

初步探讨血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)在胆囊癌(GBC)患者中的预后意义。

方法

回顾性分析316例接受手术治疗的GBC患者的临床资料,采用术前血清血小板和淋巴细胞计数计算PLR。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线确定检测死亡的PLR最佳临界值。主要结局为总生存期,采用Kaplan-Meier法进行估计。采用对数秩检验比较生存差异。然后,进行多因素Cox分析以评估PLR对GBC患者生存的独立影响。

结果

对于PLR,其在检测死亡时的ROC曲线下面积为0.620(95%CI:0.542 - 0.698,P = 0.040)。确定PLR的临界值为117.7,敏感性为73.6%,特异性为53.2%。发现PLR与CA125血清水平、肿瘤-淋巴结-转移(TNM)分期及肿瘤分化显著正相关。单因素分析将癌胚抗原(CEA)、CA125和CA199水平、PLR、TNM分期及分化程度作为二元数据表示时,确定为GBC的显著预后因素。多因素分析显示,CA125 > 35 U/mL、CA199 > 39 U/mL、PLR≥117.7及TNM分期IV期与GBC患者生存不良独立相关。当作为连续变量表示时,PLR仍是生存的独立预测因子,每增加10个单位的风险比为1.018(95%CI:1.001 - 1.037,P = 0.043)。

结论

PLR可作为预测GBC患者预后的一种简单、廉价且有价值的工具。

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