Mekuria Legese A, Prins Jan M, Yalew Alemayehu W, Sprangers Mirjam A G, Nieuwkerk Pythia T
Department of Medical Psychology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Department of Epidemiology, Netherlands Institute for Health Sciences/Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Trop Med & AIDS, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
PLoS One. 2015 Jun 26;10(6):e0130649. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0130649. eCollection 2015.
BACKGROUND: Patient retention in chronic HIV care is a major challenge following the rapid expansion of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) in Ethiopia. OBJECTIVE: To describe the proportion of patients who are retained in HIV care and characterize predictors of attrition among HIV-infected adults receiving cART in Addis Ababa. METHOD: A retrospective analysis was conducted among 836 treatment naïve patients, who started cART between May 2009 and April 2012. Patients were randomly selected from ten health-care facilities, and their current status in HIV care was determined based on routinely available data in the medical records. Patients lost to follow-up (LTFU) were traced by telephone. Kaplan-Meier technique was used to estimate survival probabilities of retention and Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify the predictors of attrition. RESULTS: Based on individual patient data from the medical records, nearly 80% (95%CI: 76.7, 82.1) of the patients were retained in care in the first 3 and half years of antiretroviral therapy. After successfully tracing more than half of the LTFU patients, the updated one year retention in care estimate became 86% (95% CI: 83.41%, 88.17%). In the multivariate Cox regression analyses, severe immune deficiency at enrolment in care/or at cART initiation and 'bed-ridden' or 'ambulatory' functional status at the start of cART predicted attrition. CONCLUSION: Retention in HIV care in Addis Ababa is comparable with or even better than previous findings from other resource-limited as well as EU/USA settings. However, measures to detect and enroll patients in HIV care as early as possible are still necessary.
背景:在埃塞俄比亚,随着联合抗逆转录病毒疗法(cART)的迅速推广,慢性HIV护理中的患者留存率成为一项重大挑战。 目的:描述在亚的斯亚贝巴接受cART治疗的HIV感染成人中,留在HIV护理中的患者比例,并确定流失的预测因素。 方法:对2009年5月至2012年4月期间开始接受cART治疗的836名初治患者进行回顾性分析。患者从十个医疗机构中随机选取,根据病历中常规可得的数据确定他们目前在HIV护理中的状态。通过电话追踪失访(LTFU)患者。采用Kaplan-Meier技术估计留存的生存概率,并进行Cox比例风险回归以确定流失的预测因素。 结果:根据病历中的个体患者数据,近80%(95%CI:76.7,82.1)的患者在抗逆转录病毒治疗的前三年半中仍留在护理中。在成功追踪了超过一半的失访患者后,更新后的一年护理留存率估计为86%(95%CI:83.41%,88.17%)。在多变量Cox回归分析中,入组护理时/或开始cART时的严重免疫缺陷以及开始cART时的“卧床”或“能走动”功能状态可预测流失。 结论:亚的斯亚贝巴的HIV护理留存率与其他资源有限地区以及欧盟/美国的先前研究结果相当,甚至更好。然而,尽早检测并让患者纳入HIV护理的措施仍然必要。
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