Codreanu Tudor A, Celenza Antonio, Alabdulkarim Ali A Rahman
1West Australian Country Health Services,Bunbury and Busselton Hospitals,Critical Care Directorate,Emergency Department, Bunbury,Australia.
2Faculty of Medicine,Dentistry and Health Sciences,University of Western Australia,Perth,Western Australia,Australia.
Prehosp Disaster Med. 2015 Aug;30(4):365-73. doi: 10.1017/S1049023X15004896. Epub 2015 Jul 6.
Introduction The effect on behavioral change of educational programs developed to reduce the community's disaster informational vulnerability is not known. This study describes the relationship of disaster education, age, sex, and country-specific characteristics with students discussing disasters with friends and family, a measure of proactive behavioral change in disaster preparedness.
Three thousand eight hundred twenty-nine final year high school students were enrolled in an international, multi-center prospective, cross-sectional study using a pre-validated written questionnaire. In order to obtain information from different educational systems, from countries with different risk of exposure to disasters, and from countries with varied economic development status, students from Bahrain, Croatia, Cyprus, Egypt, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Romania, and Timor-Leste were surveyed. Logistic regression analyses examined the relationship between the likelihood of discussing disasters with friends and family (dependent variable) and a series of independent variables (age, gender, participation in school lessons about disasters, existence of a national disaster educational program, ability to list pertinent example of disasters, country's economic group, and disaster risk index) captured by the questionnaire or available as published data.
There was no statistically significant relationship between age, awareness of one's surroundings, planning for the future, and foreseeing consequences of events with discussions about potential hazards and risks with friends and/or family. The national educational budget did not have a statistically significant influence. Participants who lived in a low disaster risk and high income Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) country were more likely to discuss disasters. While either school lessons or a national disaster education program had a unique, significant contribution to the model, neither had a better predictive utility.
The predictors (national disaster program, school lessons, gender, ability to list examples of disasters, country's disaster risk index, and level of economic development), although significant, were not sufficient in predicting disaster discussions amongst teenagers.
引言 为降低社区灾害信息脆弱性而制定的教育项目对行为改变的影响尚不清楚。本研究描述了灾害教育、年龄、性别和特定国家特征与学生与朋友和家人讨论灾害之间的关系,这是衡量备灾中积极行为改变的一个指标。
使用预先验证的书面问卷,对3829名高三学生进行了一项国际多中心前瞻性横断面研究。为了从不同的教育系统、面临不同灾害风险的国家以及经济发展状况各异的国家获取信息,对来自巴林、克罗地亚、塞浦路斯、埃及、希腊、意大利、葡萄牙、罗马尼亚和东帝汶的学生进行了调查。逻辑回归分析检验了与朋友和家人讨论灾害的可能性(因变量)与问卷中获取或作为已发表数据可用的一系列自变量(年龄、性别、参加学校灾害课程、国家灾害教育项目的存在、列出相关灾害示例的能力、国家的经济类别以及灾害风险指数)之间的关系。
年龄、对周围环境的认知、对未来的规划以及对事件后果的预见与与朋友和/或家人讨论潜在危害和风险之间没有统计学上的显著关系。国家教育预算没有统计学上的显著影响。生活在灾害风险低且为经济合作与发展组织(经合组织)高收入国家的参与者更有可能讨论灾害。虽然学校课程或国家灾害教育项目对模型都有独特的显著贡献,但两者的预测效用都不更好。
预测因素(国家灾害项目、学校课程、性别、列出灾害示例的能力、国家的灾害风险指数以及经济发展水平)虽然显著,但不足以预测青少年之间的灾害讨论。