Lee Heeyoung, Kim Kyunga, Choi Kyoung-Hee, Yoon Yohan
Department of Food and Nutrition, Sookmyung Women's University, Seoul 140-742, Korea.
Biostatistics and Clinical Epidemiology Center, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul 135-710, Korea.
J Dairy Sci. 2015 Sep;98(9):5931-45. doi: 10.3168/jds.2015-9611. Epub 2015 Jul 8.
This study quantitatively assessed the microbial risk of Staphylococcus aureus in cheese in Korea. The quantitative microbial risk assessment was carried out for natural and processed cheese from factory to consumption. Hazards for S. aureus in cheese were identified through the literature. For exposure assessment, the levels of S. aureus contamination in cheeses were evaluated, and the growth of S. aureus was predicted by predictive models at the surveyed temperatures, and at the time of cheese processing and distribution. For hazard characterization, a dose-response model for S. aureus was found, and the model was used to estimate the risk of illness. With these data, simulation models were prepared with @RISK (Palisade Corp., Ithaca, NY) to estimate the risk of illness per person per day in risk characterization. Staphylococcus aureus cell counts on cheese samples from factories and markets were below detection limits (0.30-0.45 log cfu/g), and pert distribution showed that the mean temperature at markets was 6.63°C. Exponential model [P=1 - exp(7.64×10(-8) × N), where N=dose] for dose-response was deemed appropriate for hazard characterization. Mean temperature of home storage was 4.02°C (log-logistic distribution). The results of risk characterization for S. aureus in natural and processed cheese showed that the mean values for the probability of illness per person per day were higher in processed cheese (mean: 2.24×10(-9); maximum: 7.97×10(-6)) than in natural cheese (mean: 7.84×10(-10); maximum: 2.32×10(-6)). These results indicate that the risk of S. aureus-related foodborne illness due to cheese consumption can be considered low under the present conditions in Korea. In addition, the developed stochastic risk assessment model in this study can be useful in establishing microbial criteria for S. aureus in cheese.
本研究对韩国奶酪中金黄色葡萄球菌的微生物风险进行了定量评估。对从工厂到消费环节的天然奶酪和加工奶酪进行了定量微生物风险评估。通过文献确定了奶酪中金黄色葡萄球菌的危害。在暴露评估中,评估了奶酪中金黄色葡萄球菌的污染水平,并通过预测模型在调查温度、奶酪加工和分销时预测了金黄色葡萄球菌的生长情况。在危害特征描述方面,找到了金黄色葡萄球菌的剂量反应模型,并使用该模型估计疾病风险。利用这些数据,使用@RISK(Palisade公司,纽约州伊萨卡)准备了模拟模型,以估计风险特征描述中每人每天的疾病风险。工厂和市场奶酪样品上的金黄色葡萄球菌细胞计数低于检测限(0.30 - 0.45 log cfu/g),pert分布显示市场的平均温度为6.63°C。剂量反应的指数模型[P = 1 - exp(7.64×10(-8) × N),其中N = 剂量]被认为适用于危害特征描述。家庭储存的平均温度为4.02°C(对数逻辑分布)。天然奶酪和加工奶酪中金黄色葡萄球菌的风险特征描述结果表明,加工奶酪中每人每天患病概率的平均值(平均值:2.24×10(-9);最大值:7.97×10(-6))高于天然奶酪(平均值:7.84×10(-10);最大值:2.32×10(-6))。这些结果表明,在韩国目前的条件下,因食用奶酪导致金黄色葡萄球菌相关食源性疾病的风险可被视为较低。此外,本研究中开发的随机风险评估模型可用于制定奶酪中金黄色葡萄球菌的微生物标准。