Oh Hyemin, Yoon Yohan, Yoon Jang-Won, Oh Se-Wook, Lee Soomin, Lee Heeyoung
Risk Analysis Research Center, Sookmyung Women's University, Seoul 04310, Republic of Korea.
Department of Food and Nutrition, Sookmyung Women's University, Seoul 04310, Republic of Korea.
Foods. 2023 Feb 2;12(3):649. doi: 10.3390/foods12030649.
This study predicted outbreak risk from eating cooked poultry in various methods. The incidence of in poultry meat and the environment from farm to home for consumption was investigated. To develop the predictive models, growth data were collected at 4-25 °C during storage and fitted with the Baranyi model. The effects of cooking on cell counts in poultry meat were investigated. Temperature, duration, and consumption patterns were all searched. A simulation in @Risk was run using these data to estimate the probability of foodborne disease. In farm, was detected from only fecal samples (8.5%; 56/660). In slaughterhouses, was detected from feces 16.0% (38/237) for chicken and 19.5% (82/420) for duck) and from carcasses of each step (scalding, defeathering, and chilling) by cross contamination. In chicken ( = 270) and duck ( = 205), was detected in 5 chicken (1.9%) and 16 duck meat samples (7.8%). contamination levels were initially estimated to be -3.1 Log CFU/g and -2.5 Log CFU/g, respectively. With values between 0.862 and 0.924, the predictive models were suitable for describing the fate of in poultry meat with of 0.862 and 0.924. The was not detected when poultry meat cooks completely. However, if poultry meat contaminated with were cooked incompletely, remained on the food surface. The risk of foodborne disease from poultry consumption after cooking was 3.0 × 10/person/day and 8.8 × 10/person/day in South Korea, indicating a low risk.
本研究通过多种方法预测了食用熟禽肉引发疫情的风险。对禽肉以及从农场到家庭消费过程中的环境中的发病率进行了调查。为建立预测模型,在4-25℃储存期间收集了生长数据,并与巴拉尼模型进行拟合。研究了烹饪对禽肉中细胞计数的影响。对温度、持续时间和消费模式都进行了研究。利用这些数据在@Risk中进行模拟,以估计食源性疾病的概率。在农场中,仅在粪便样本中检测到(8.5%;56/660)。在屠宰场,鸡的粪便中检测到的比例为16.0%(38/237),鸭的粪便中检测到的比例为19.5%(82/420),并且在每个步骤(烫毛、拔毛和冷却)的屠体中通过交叉污染检测到。在鸡(=270)和鸭(=205)中,5份鸡肉样本(1.9%)和16份鸭肉样本(7.8%)中检测到。污染水平最初估计分别为-3.1 Log CFU/g和-2.5 Log CFU/g。预测模型的R值在0.862至0.924之间,适用于描述禽肉中 的变化情况,R值为0.862和0.924。禽肉完全煮熟时未检测到 。然而,如果被 污染的禽肉未完全煮熟, 会残留在食物表面。在韩国,烹饪后食用禽肉导致食源性疾病的风险为3.0×10/人/天和8.8×10/人/天,表明风险较低。 (注:原文中部分内容缺失具体指代,翻译时保留原样)