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基于现代美国肱骨和股骨进行性别估计,并考虑样本方差结构。

Sex estimation from modern American humeri and femora, accounting for sample variance structure.

作者信息

Boldsen Jesper L, Milner George R, Boldsen Søren K

机构信息

Department of Anthropology [ADBOU], Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Southern Denmark, Lucernemarken 20, Odense S, DK 5260, Denmark.

Department of Anthropology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802.

出版信息

Am J Phys Anthropol. 2015 Dec;158(4):745-50. doi: 10.1002/ajpa.22812. Epub 2015 Jul 24.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

A new procedure for skeletal sex estimation based on humeral and femoral dimensions is presented, based on skeletons from the United States. The approach specifically addresses the problem that arises from a lack of variance homogeneity between the sexes, taking into account prior information about the sample's sex ratio, if known.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Three measurements useful for estimating the sex of adult skeletons, the humeral and femoral head diameters and the humeral epicondylar breadth, were collected from 258 Americans born between 1893 and 1980 who died within the past several decades.

RESULTS

For measurements individually and collectively, the probabilities of being one sex or the other were generated for samples with an equal distribution of males and females, taking into account the variance structure of the original measurements. The combination providing the best estimates correctly classifies 88.3% of the skeletons, with 10.8% considered unknown and 0.9% assigned to the wrong sex.

DISCUSSION

Probabilities of correct assignments are a better means of categorizing individuals as male or female than the sectioning points commonly used in skeletal studies. That is because it is possible to estimate the observer's certainty that the individual represented by measured bones was one sex or the other. A computer program is available that simultaneously considers samples of unequal sex composition. It is useful when there is contextual information available about the nature of skeletal samples (e.g., a mass burial from a battle or genocide).

摘要

目的

基于来自美国的骨骼,提出一种基于肱骨和股骨尺寸的骨骼性别估计新方法。该方法特别解决了由于性别间方差同质性缺乏而产生的问题,同时考虑了样本性别比例的先验信息(如果已知)。

材料与方法

从258名出生于1893年至1980年间且在过去几十年内死亡的美国人身上收集了三种有助于估计成年骨骼性别的测量数据,即肱骨头和股骨头直径以及肱骨髁间宽度。

结果

对于单独和综合测量,考虑到原始测量的方差结构,针对男性和女性分布相等的样本生成了属于某一性别的概率。提供最佳估计的组合正确分类了88.3%的骨骼,10.8%被视为未知,0.9%被错误分配性别。

讨论

与骨骼研究中常用的划分点相比,正确分配的概率是将个体分类为男性或女性的更好方法。这是因为可以估计观察者对由测量骨骼代表的个体属于某一性别的确定性。有一个计算机程序可同时考虑性别组成不相等的样本。当有关于骨骼样本性质的背景信息(例如,一场战斗或种族灭绝中的集体埋葬)时,它很有用。

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