Bidoli Ettore, Barbone Fabio, Collarile Paolo, Valent Francesca, Zanier Loris, Daris Fulvio, Gini Andrea, Birri Silvia, Serraino Diego
SOC Epidemiologia e Biostatistica, IRCCS Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano, 33081 Aviano (PN), Italy.
Istituto di Igiene ed Epidemiologia clinica, DSMB Università degli Studi di Udine, 33100 Udine, Italy.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2015 Jul 31;12(8):9025-35. doi: 10.3390/ijerph120809025.
We assessed the risk of lung cancer in people living near the iron foundry located within the city of Trieste, Northeastern Italy. Between 1995 and 2009, all incident cases of lung cancer and corresponding population were considered. A deposition model of the foundry-specific emissions of SO2 defined: "nearby", "urban", and "outlying" areas. Rate ratios (RRs) and annual percent changes (APCs) were computed. Among nearby residents, significantly increased risks of lung cancer were noted in men below age 75 years (RR = 1.35 vs. urban area; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77). In women, and in men aged 75 years or older, no significant RRs were observed. Conversely, people living in the outlying area appeared to be at lower risk than residents in the urban area- in all age groups, in men (RR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.78-0.98) and in women (RR = 0.74; 95% CI: 0.62-0.88). Negative statistically significant APC was recorded in men living in urban areas (-2.6%), whereas in women APC significantly increased among those living in the urban area (+2.3%). Multiple interpretations for this observation are plausible, since several factors might have modified and/or confounded the risk of lung cancer, including air pollution from other sources and road traffic, occupational and smoking patterns.
我们评估了居住在意大利东北部的里雅斯特市内铸铁厂附近居民患肺癌的风险。在1995年至2009年期间,纳入了所有肺癌发病病例及相应人群。通过特定铸造厂二氧化硫排放的沉积模型定义了“附近”、“城市”和“外围”区域。计算了率比(RRs)和年度百分比变化(APCs)。在附近居民中,75岁以下男性的肺癌风险显著增加(RR = 1.35,与城市地区相比;95%置信区间:1.03 - 1.77)。在女性以及75岁及以上男性中,未观察到显著的RRs。相反,居住在外围区域的人在所有年龄组中,男性(RR = 0.87;95%置信区间:0.78 - 0.98)和女性(RR = 0.74;95%置信区间:0.62 - 0.88)似乎比城市地区居民的风险更低。居住在城市地区的男性记录到具有统计学意义的负APC(-2.6%),而居住在城市地区的女性APC显著增加(+2.3%)。对此观察结果有多种合理的解释,因为包括其他来源的空气污染、道路交通、职业和吸烟模式等几个因素可能改变和/或混淆了肺癌风险。