Xu Jinhu, Zhou Yicang
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710049, China.
Math Biosci Eng. 2015 Oct;12(5):1083-106. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1083.
A multi-group epidemic model with distributed delay and vaccination age has been formulated and studied. Mathematical analysis shows that the global dynamics of the model is determined by the basic reproduction number R0: the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 ≤ 1, and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 > 1. Lyapunov functionals are constructed by the non-negative matrix theory and a novel grouping technique to establish the global stability. The stochastic perturbation of the model is studied and it is proved that the endemic equilibrium of the stochastic model is stochastically asymptotically stable in the large under certain conditions.
一个具有分布时滞和疫苗接种年龄的多群体流行病模型已被构建并研究。数学分析表明,该模型的全局动态由基本再生数(R_0)决定:如果(R_0\leq1),无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;如果(R_0>1),地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的。利用非负矩阵理论和一种新颖的分组技术构造李雅普诺夫泛函来建立全局稳定性。研究了该模型的随机扰动,并证明了在一定条件下随机模型的地方病平衡点在大范围内是随机渐近稳定的。