Schiebener Johannes, Brand Matthias
Department of General Psychology: Cognition, University of Duisburg-Essen, Forsthausweg 2, 47057, Duisburg, Germany.
Erwin L. Hahn Institute for Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Essen, Germany.
Cogn Process. 2015 Nov;16(4):401-16. doi: 10.1007/s10339-015-0665-1. Epub 2015 Aug 20.
In decisions under objective risk conditions information about the decision options' possible outcomes and the rules for outcomes' occurrence are provided. Thus, deciders can base decision-making strategies on probabilistic laws. In many laboratory decision-making tasks, choosing the option with the highest winning probability in all trials (=maximization strategy) is probabilistically regarded the most rational behavior. However, individuals often behave less optimal, especially in case the individuals have lower cognitive functions or in case no feedback about consequences is provided in the situation. It is still unclear which cognitive functions particularly predispose individuals for using successful strategies and which strategies profit from feedback. We investigated 195 individuals with two decision-making paradigms, the Game of Dice Task (GDT) (with and without feedback), and the Card Guessing Game. Thereafter, participants reported which strategies they had applied. Interaction effects (feedback × strategy), effect sizes, and uncorrected single group comparisons suggest that feedback in the GDT tended to be more beneficial to individuals reporting exploratory strategies (e.g., use intuition). In both tasks, the self-reported use of more principled and more rational strategies was accompanied by better decision-making performance and better performances in reasoning and executive functioning tasks. The strategy groups did not significantly differ in most short-term and working-memory tasks. Thus, particularly individual differences in reasoning and executive functions seem to predispose individuals toward particular decision-making strategies. Feedback seems to be useful for individuals who rather explore the decision-making situation instead of following a certain plan.
在客观风险条件下的决策中,会提供有关决策选项可能结果以及结果出现规则的信息。因此,决策者可以基于概率法则制定决策策略。在许多实验室决策任务中,在所有试验中选择获胜概率最高的选项(即最大化策略)在概率上被视为最理性的行为。然而,个体的行为往往并非如此最优,尤其是当个体认知功能较低或在该情境中未提供关于后果的反馈时。目前仍不清楚哪些认知功能特别使个体倾向于使用成功的策略,以及哪些策略受益于反馈。我们使用两种决策范式对195名个体进行了研究,即掷骰子任务(有反馈和无反馈)以及猜牌游戏。之后,参与者报告他们所应用的策略。交互效应(反馈×策略)、效应量以及未经校正的单组比较表明,掷骰子任务中的反馈对报告探索性策略(如使用直觉)的个体往往更有益。在这两项任务中,自我报告使用更有原则和更理性的策略伴随着更好的决策表现以及在推理和执行功能任务中的更好表现。策略组在大多数短期和工作记忆任务中没有显著差异。因此,尤其是推理和执行功能方面的个体差异似乎使个体倾向于特定的决策策略。反馈对于那些更倾向于探索决策情境而非遵循特定计划的个体似乎是有用的。