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大休斯顿地区的细颗粒物成分与死亡率:2000 年至 2011 年风险是否降低了?

Fine particulate matter components and mortality in Greater Houston: Did the risk reduce from 2000 to 2011?

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, TX 77030, USA.

Department of Epidemiology, Human Genetics and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, TX 77030, USA.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2015 Dec 15;538:162-8. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.08.037. Epub 2015 Aug 22.

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (less than 2.5μm in aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5) pollution poses a major environmental threat in Greater Houston due to rapid economic growth and the numerous PM2.5 sources including ports, vehicles, and the largest petrochemical industry in the United States (U.S.). Our objectives were to estimate the short-term associations between the PM2.5 components and mortality during 2000-2011, and evaluate whether these associations have changed over time. A total of 333,317 deaths were included in our assessment, with an average of 76 deaths per day. We selected 17 PM2.5 components from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Chemical Speciation Network, and then applied Poisson regression models to assess the associations between the PM2.5 components and mortality. Additionally, we repeated our analysis for two consecutive periods: 2000-2005 and 2006-2011. Interquartile range increases in ammonium (0.881μg/m(3)), nitrate (0.487μg/m(3)), sulfate (2.245μg/m(3)), and vanadium (0.004μg/m(3)) were associated with an increased risk in mortality of 0.69% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.26, 1.12%), 0.38% (95% CI: 0.11, 0.66%), 0.61% (95% CI: 0.15, 1.06%), and 0.58% (95% CI: 0.12, 1.04%), respectively. Seasonal analysis suggested that the associations were strongest during the winter months. The association between PM2.5 mass and mortality decreased during 2000-2011, however, the PM2.5 components showed no notable changes in mortality risk over time. Our study indicates that the short-term associations between PM2.5 and mortality differ across the PM2.5 components and suggests that future air pollution control measures should not only focus on mass but also pollutant sources.

摘要

细颗粒物(空气动力学直径小于 2.5μm;PM2.5)污染是休斯敦大地区面临的主要环境威胁,这主要是由于经济的快速增长以及众多 PM2.5 来源,包括港口、车辆和美国最大的石化工业。我们的目标是评估 2000-2011 年期间 PM2.5 成分与死亡率之间的短期关联,并评估这些关联是否随时间发生变化。我们的评估共纳入 333317 例死亡,平均每天 76 例。我们从美国环境保护署的化学成分网络中选择了 17 种 PM2.5 成分,然后应用泊松回归模型评估 PM2.5 成分与死亡率之间的关联。此外,我们还对两个连续时间段进行了重复分析:2000-2005 年和 2006-2011 年。铵(0.881μg/m(3))、硝酸盐(0.487μg/m(3))、硫酸盐(2.245μg/m(3))和钒(0.004μg/m(3))的四分位间距增加与死亡率增加 0.69%(95%置信区间(CI):0.26,1.12%)、0.38%(95% CI:0.11,0.66%)、0.61%(95% CI:0.15,1.06%)和 0.58%(95% CI:0.12,1.04%)分别相关。季节分析表明,这些关联在冬季最强。2000-2011 年间,PM2.5 质量与死亡率之间的关联减弱,但 PM2.5 成分在死亡率风险方面随时间没有明显变化。我们的研究表明,PM2.5 与死亡率之间的短期关联因 PM2.5 成分而异,并表明未来的空气污染控制措施不仅应关注质量,还应关注污染源。

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