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[在真假未知型测试中计算随机期望分数分布的方法]

[Method for calculating the distribution of randomly expected scores in a false-true-do not know-type of test].

作者信息

Pérez-Padilla J R, Viniegra Velázquez L

出版信息

Rev Invest Clin. 1989 Oct-Dec;41(4):375-9.

PMID:2631171
Abstract

Multiple choice tests have been used widely in the evaluation of knowledge. The lowest passing limit is generally chosen arbitrarily. Better and more objective criteria may arise from analyzing the distribution of correct and incorrect answers as expected by chance. In order to calculate the distribution of correct answers and the difference between correct and incorrect answers (core) we propose the use of a method based on a gaussian distribution. The distribution of scores expected by chance is approximated by a gaussian distribution with a mean of zero and a standard deviation SD = square root of n(pA + pE), and the distribution of the total number of correct answers has a mean of npA and SD = square root of npApE, where n is the total number of questions, and pA and pE are the probabilities of having a correct and an incorrect answer, respectively. The formulae are applicable to questions type false/true/do not know and to the more common type of one correct in five options. Once the chance distribution is known, it can be compared with the distribution of scores or correct answers obtained, which can then be used to separate people in two groups: those that answer the test as expected or worse than expected by chance, and those that answer the test better than expected by chance. The first group should not be passed. The passing of individuals in the second group can be decided by additional criteria.

摘要

多项选择题已广泛应用于知识评估。最低及格分数线通常是任意选定的。通过分析随机预期的正确与错误答案分布,可能会得出更好、更客观的标准。为了计算正确答案的分布以及正确与错误答案之间的差异(核心内容),我们建议使用一种基于高斯分布的方法。随机预期的分数分布由均值为零、标准差SD = √n(pA + pE) 的高斯分布近似,正确答案总数的分布均值为npA,标准差SD = √npApE,其中n是问题总数,pA和pE分别是答对和答错的概率。这些公式适用于“对错/不知道”题型以及更常见的五选一题型。一旦知道了随机分布,就可以将其与获得的分数或正确答案分布进行比较,进而可用于将人群分为两组:那些答题情况与预期相符或比随机预期更差的人,以及那些答题情况比随机预期更好的人。第一组不应及格。第二组人员是否及格可由其他标准决定。

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