Martin Linda G, Zimmer Zachary, Lee Jinkook
Washington Office, RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia.
Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2017 Jan;72(1):129-139. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbv074. Epub 2015 Sep 2.
The disablement process can be viewed conceptually as a progression from disease to impairment to functional limitation and finally disability (frequently operationalized as activity limitation). This article assesses the extent to which early phases of the process are associated with individual-level disability trajectories by age.
We use data from seven waves of the Health and Retirement Study, 1998 to 2010, to investigate for individuals aged 65-84 years how baseline sociodemographic characteristics and self-reported disease, pain, and functional limitation (physical, cognitive, or sensory) are related to the dynamics of limitations in activities of daily living (ADLs). Our modeling approach jointly estimates multiperiod trajectories of ADL limitation and mortality and yields estimates of the number of, shapes of, and factors associated with the most common trajectories.
Individual probability of ADL limitation can best be described by three common trajectories. In comparison with disease, pain, and functional limitation, sociodemographic characteristics have weak associations with trajectory group membership. Notably, neither sex nor education is strongly associated with group membership in multivariate models.
The analysis confirms the importance of the early phases of the disablement process and their relationships with subsequent trajectories of activity limitation.
致残过程在概念上可视为一个从疾病发展到损伤,再到功能受限,最终导致残疾(通常表现为活动受限)的过程。本文评估了该过程早期阶段与不同年龄段个体残疾轨迹的关联程度。
我们使用了1998年至2010年健康与退休研究的七轮数据,以调查65至84岁个体的基线社会人口学特征、自我报告的疾病、疼痛和功能受限(身体、认知或感官方面)如何与日常生活活动(ADL)受限的动态变化相关。我们的建模方法联合估计了ADL受限和死亡率的多期轨迹,并得出了最常见轨迹的数量、形状以及相关因素的估计值。
ADL受限的个体概率最好用三种常见轨迹来描述。与疾病、疼痛和功能受限相比,社会人口学特征与轨迹组成员身份的关联较弱。值得注意的是,在多变量模型中,性别和教育程度与组成员身份均无强烈关联。
该分析证实了致残过程早期阶段的重要性及其与后续活动受限轨迹的关系。