Black Dan A, Hsu Yu-Chieh, Taylor Lowell J
University of Chicago, NORC, and IZA, United States.
University of Chicago and NORC, United States.
J Health Econ. 2015 Dec;44:1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2015.07.007. Epub 2015 Aug 5.
Many studies link cross-state variation in compulsory schooling laws to early-life educational attainment, thereby providing a plausible way to investigate the causal impact of education on various lifetime outcomes. We use this strategy to estimate the effect of education on older-age mortality of individuals born in the early twentieth century U.S. Our key innovation is to combine U.S. Census data and the complete Vital Statistics records to form precise mortality estimates by sex, birth cohort, and birth state. In turn we find that virtually all of the variation in these mortality rates is captured by cohort effects and state effects alone, making it impossible to reliably tease out any additional impact due to changing educational attainment induced by state-level changes in compulsory schooling.
许多研究将义务教育法的州际差异与早年的教育成就联系起来,从而提供了一种可行的方法来研究教育对各种人生结局的因果影响。我们运用这一策略来估计教育对20世纪初出生的美国人老年死亡率的影响。我们的关键创新在于将美国人口普查数据与完整的生命统计记录相结合,以按性别、出生队列和出生州形成精确的死亡率估计。相应地,我们发现这些死亡率的几乎所有差异仅由队列效应和州效应所解释,这使得我们无法可靠地梳理出因州一级义务教育变化所导致的教育成就改变而产生的任何额外影响。