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1,3-丁二烯、苯乙烯与男用合成橡胶行业工人的淋巴造血系统肿瘤——初步的暴露-反应关系分析。

1,3-Butadiene, styrene and lymphohematopoietic cancer among male synthetic rubber industry workers--Preliminary exposure-response analyses.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, United States.

Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, United States.

出版信息

Chem Biol Interact. 2015 Nov 5;241:40-9. doi: 10.1016/j.cbi.2015.09.003. Epub 2015 Sep 5.

Abstract

We updated the mortality experience of North American synthetic rubber industry workers to include follow-up from 1944 through 2009, adding 11 years of mortality data to previous investigations. The present analysis used Cox regression to examine the exposure-response relationship between 1,3-butadiene (BD) and styrene (STY) parts per million (ppm)-years and leukemia (N = 114 deaths), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) (N = 89) and multiple myeloma (MM) (N = 48). A pattern of largely monotonically increasing rate ratios across deciles of BD ppm-years and a positive, statistically significant exposure-response trend were observed for BD ppm-years and leukemia. Using continuous, untransformed BD ppm-years the regression coefficient (β) adjusted only for age was 2.6 × 10(-4) (p < 0.01); the regression coefficient adjusted for age, year of birth, race and plant was 2.9 × 10(-4) (p < 0.01). STY ppm-years also displayed a positive exposure-response association with leukemia. STY and BD were strongly correlated, and the separate effects of these two agents could not be estimated. For NHL, a pattern of approximately monotonically increasing rate ratios across deciles of exposure was seen for STY but not for BD; the test of trend was statistically significant in one of five models that used different STY exposure metrics and adjusted for age and other covariates. BD ppm-years and STY ppm-years were not associated with MM. The present analyses indicated a positive exposure-response relationship between BD cumulative exposure and leukemia. This result along with other research and biological information support an interpretation that BD causes leukemia in humans. STY exposure also was positively associated with leukemia, but its independent effect could not be delineated because of its strong correlation with BD, and there is no external support for a STY-leukemia association. STY, but not BD, was associated positively with NHL. The interpretation of this result is uncertain because the exposure-response data were statistically imprecise and because consistent support for causality from other studies is lacking. The current study provides no support for an association between BD or STY and MM.

摘要

我们更新了北美合成橡胶行业工人的死亡率数据,其中包括 1944 年至 2009 年的随访数据,为之前的研究增加了 11 年的死亡率数据。本分析采用 Cox 回归模型,研究了 1,3-丁二烯(BD)和苯乙烯(STY)百万分比浓度(ppm)-年与白血病(N=114 例死亡)、非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL)(N=89)和多发性骨髓瘤(MM)(N=48)之间的暴露反应关系。BD ppm-年的十等分组中观察到的率比呈单调递增模式,BD ppm-年与白血病之间存在阳性、统计学显著的暴露反应趋势。使用未经转换的连续 BD ppm-年,仅调整年龄的回归系数(β)为 2.6×10(-4)(p<0.01);调整年龄、出生年份、种族和工厂的回归系数为 2.9×10(-4)(p<0.01)。STY ppm-年也与白血病呈阳性暴露反应关联。STY 和 BD 呈强相关,无法估计这两种物质的单独作用。对于 NHL,在暴露的十等分组中,STY 呈近似单调递增的率比模式,但 BD 则不然;在使用不同的 STY 暴露指标并调整年龄和其他协变量的五个模型中,有一个模型的趋势检验具有统计学意义。BD ppm-年和 STY ppm-年与 MM 无关。本分析表明,BD 累积暴露与白血病之间存在阳性暴露反应关系。这一结果以及其他研究和生物学信息支持 BD 导致人类白血病的解释。STY 暴露也与白血病呈正相关,但由于与 BD 强烈相关,其独立作用无法确定,而且没有外部证据支持 STY-白血病的关联。STY,但不是 BD,与 NHL 呈正相关。由于暴露反应数据统计上不精确,而且缺乏其他研究的一致性因果关系支持,因此对这一结果的解释尚不确定。本研究没有提供 BD 或 STY 与 MM 之间存在关联的证据。

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