Zhang Kui, Luo Ying-zhen, Fan Fei, Zheng Jie-qian, Yang Min, Li Tao, Pang Tao, Zhang Jian, Deng Zhen-hua
Department of Forensic Pathology, West China School of Preclinical and Forensic Medicine, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, PR China.
Department of Radiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, PR China.
J Forensic Leg Med. 2015 Oct;35:40-4. doi: 10.1016/j.jflm.2015.07.003. Epub 2015 Aug 1.
The objective of the present investigation was to generate linear regression models for stature estimation on the basis of sternum length derived from computed tomography-volume rendering technique (CT-VRT) images for Western Chinese. The study sample comprised 288 individuals of Western Chinese, including 124 females and 164 males, with documented ages between 19 and 78 years, and was randomly divided into two subgroups. The linear regression analysis for the calibration sample data yielded the following formulae: male stature (cm) = 137.28 + 1.99combined length of manubrium and mesosternum and female stature (cm) = 111.59 + 3.51 combined length of manubrium and mesosternum. Pearson's correlation coefficients for the regression models were r = 0.459 and r = 0.541 for the male and female formulae, respectively. The standard errors of the estimate (SEE) were 4.76 cm for the male equation and 6.73 cm for the female equation. The 95% confidence intervals of the predicted values encompassed the correct stature of all specimen in the validation sample. The regression equations derived from the sternum length in the present study can be used for stature estimation and the length of the sternum is a reliable predictor of stature in Chinese when better predictors of stature like the long bones are not available, and the CT-VRT method may be a practical method for stature estimation.
本研究的目的是基于计算机断层扫描容积再现技术(CT-VRT)图像得出的胸骨长度,为中国西部人群建立身高估计的线性回归模型。研究样本包括288名中国西部人群,其中女性124名,男性164名,记录年龄在19至78岁之间,并随机分为两个亚组。校准样本数据的线性回归分析得出以下公式:男性身高(厘米)=137.28 + 1.99×胸骨柄和胸骨体联合长度,女性身高(厘米)=111.59 + 3.51×胸骨柄和胸骨体联合长度。回归模型的Pearson相关系数,男性公式为r = 0.459,女性公式为r = 0.541。估计标准误差(SEE),男性方程为4.76厘米,女性方程为6.73厘米。预测值的95%置信区间涵盖了验证样本中所有标本的正确身高。本研究从胸骨长度得出的回归方程可用于身高估计,当没有像长骨这样更好的身高预测指标时,胸骨长度是中国人群身高的可靠预测指标,且CT-VRT方法可能是一种实用的身高估计方法。