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马匹中基于FEC的靶向选择性驱虫的经济评估。

Economic assessment of FEC-based targeted selective drenching in horses.

作者信息

Sallé Guillaume, Cortet Jacques, Koch Christine, Reigner Fabrice, Cabaret Jacques

机构信息

INRA, UMR1282 Infectiologie et Sante Publique, F-37380 Nouzilly, France; Universite Francois Rabelais, UMR1282 Infectiologie et Sante Publique, F-37000 Tours, France.

INRA, UMR1282 Infectiologie et Sante Publique, F-37380 Nouzilly, France; Universite Francois Rabelais, UMR1282 Infectiologie et Sante Publique, F-37000 Tours, France.

出版信息

Vet Parasitol. 2015 Nov 30;214(1-2):159-66. doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2015.09.006. Epub 2015 Sep 14.

Abstract

In the face of an increased prevalence of drug-resistant cyathostomin populations, a targeted selective treatment (TST) strategy based on Faecal Egg Counts (FECs) has been proposed as an alternative management strategy. However, associated costs may be a barrier to the uptake of this strategy. Our study aims to provide an economic assessment of FEC-based TST. FECs were determined in a Welsh pony herd thrice a year from 2010 to 2014. This database was used to explore the impact of FEC price, sampling strategy (individual or pooled) and labour-associated costs. Drug price was set at the cheapest level, hence providing a conservative framework to determine the maximum viable FEC price in the context of a cost-driven horse industry. The maximum viable FEC price for a cost-efficient individual based strategy was determined by an in silico bootstrap approach consisting of randomly sampling 1000 virtual pony herds of various sizes (1 to 100 ponies) from the available database and estimating the associated costs (FEC price ranging from € 1 to € 10, anthelmintic costs and labour-associated costs). The costs and benefits of the pooling strategy that consists of basing the decision to treat on group FEC values were also investigated. This is thought to reduce FEC-based costs but may result in highly infected individuals being left undrenched, i.e. in false-negatives, as a result of FEC overdispersion. For various pool-sizes (1-20 ponies) and various cut-off thresholds (50-200 eggs/g), we sampled 1000 pony herds in silico to estimate the associated costs and determine the number of positive ponies within a negative pool. Following these simulations, pool-based FECs of various sizes were performed on 40 ponies to compare predictions with real data. Within 4 years, anthelmintic costs were cut by 80%, albeit with free FECs. In silico estimations suggested that an individual FEC-based TST would not be cost-efficient in this context for an FEC price above € 5. With a pooled FEC strategy, the proportion of false-negatives never exceeded 15% of the pool size. The combination of a 14-pony pool and a cut-off value of 150 eggs/g minimized total costs while keeping the number of false negatives to a reasonable level. Real data obtained from infected ponies however, suggested that pool size should not exceed 10 individuals, since the inhomogeneous mixing of faeces of larger pools probably reduced the correlation between average pooled FECs and the mean of individual FECs. Our study provides an economic framework that could be valuable for emphasizing the use of FEC-based approaches in the field.

摘要

面对耐药性圆线虫种群患病率的上升,一种基于粪虫卵计数(FEC)的靶向选择性治疗(TST)策略已被提议作为一种替代管理策略。然而,相关成本可能是该策略推广应用的一个障碍。我们的研究旨在对基于FEC的TST进行经济评估。从2010年到2014年,每年三次测定威尔士矮种马群的粪虫卵计数。该数据库用于探讨FEC价格、采样策略(个体或混合)以及劳动力相关成本的影响。药物价格设定为最低水平,从而提供一个保守的框架,以便在成本驱动的养马行业背景下确定可行的最高FEC价格。通过一种计算机模拟自举法确定成本效益高的基于个体的策略的可行最高FEC价格,该方法包括从可用数据库中随机抽取1000个不同规模(1至100匹矮种马)的虚拟矮种马群,并估算相关成本(FEC价格从1欧元到10欧元不等、驱虫药成本和劳动力相关成本)。还研究了基于群体FEC值来决定治疗的混合策略的成本和效益。这被认为可以降低基于FEC的成本,但由于FEC的过度分散,可能会导致高感染个体未得到驱虫,即出现假阴性。对于不同的混合规模(1 - 20匹矮种马)和不同的临界阈值(50 - 200个虫卵/克),我们在计算机模拟中抽取1000个矮种马群来估算相关成本,并确定阴性混合样本中的阳性矮种马数量。在这些模拟之后,对40匹矮种马进行了不同规模的基于混合样本的FEC检测,以将预测结果与实际数据进行比较。在4年内,尽管FEC检测免费,但驱虫药成本降低了80%。计算机模拟估计表明,在这种情况下,对于FEC价格高于5欧元的情况,基于个体FEC的TST在成本效益方面并不理想。采用混合FEC策略时,假阴性比例从未超过混合样本规模的15%。14匹矮种马的混合样本和150个虫卵/克的临界值相结合,在将假阴性数量控制在合理水平的同时,使总成本降至最低。然而,从感染矮种马获得的实际数据表明,混合样本规模不应超过10个个体,因为更大规模混合样本中粪便的不均匀混合可能降低了平均混合FEC与个体FEC均值之间的相关性。我们的研究提供了一个经济框架,对于在实际应用中强调使用基于FEC的方法可能具有重要价值。

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