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苏丹中部儿童脑型疟疾幸存者的神经疾病模式及预测因素

Pattern and predictors of neurological morbidities among childhood cerebral malaria survivors in central Sudan.

作者信息

Mergani Adil, Khamis Ammar H, Fatih Hashim E L, Gumma Mohamed, Awadelseed Bella, Elwali Nasr Eldin M A, Haboor Ali Babikir

机构信息

College of Applied Medical Sciences, Taif University, Turabah, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

J Vector Borne Dis. 2015 Sep;52(3):239-44.

Abstract

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Cerebral malaria is considered a leading cause of neuro-disability in sub-Saharan Africa among children and about 25% of survivors have long-term neurological and cognitive deficits or epilepsy. Their development was reported to be associated with protracted seizures, deep and prolonged coma. The study was aimed to determine the discharge pattern and to identify potential and informative predictors of neurological sequelae at discharge, complicating childhood cerebral malaria in central Sudan.

METHODS

A cross-sectional prospective study was carried out during malaria transmission seasons from 2000 to 2004 in Wad Medani, Sinnar and Singa hospitals, central Sudan. Children suspected of having cerebral malaria were examined and diagnosed by a Pediatrician for clinical, laboratory findings and any neurological complications. Univariate and multiple regression model analysis were performed to evaluate the association of clinical and laboratory findings with occurrence of neurological complications using the SPSS.

RESULTS

Out of 940 examined children, only 409 were diagnosed with cerebral malaria with a mean age of 6.1 ± 3.3 yr. The mortality rate associated with the study was 14.2% (58) and 18.2% (64) of survivors (351) had neurological sequelae. Abnormal posture, either decerebration or decortication, focal convulsion and coma duration of >48 h were significant predictors for surviving from cerebral malaria with a neurological sequelae in children from central Sudan by Univariate analysis. Multiple logistic regression model fitting these variables, revealed 39.6% sensitivity for prediction of childhood cerebral malaria survivors with neurological sequelae (R² = 0.396; p=0.001).

INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSION: Neurological sequelae are common due to childhood cerebral malaria in central Sudan. Their prediction at admission, clinical presentation and laboratory findings may guide clinical intervention and proper management that may decrease morbidity and improve CM consequences.

摘要

背景与目的

脑型疟疾被认为是撒哈拉以南非洲儿童神经残疾的主要原因,约25%的幸存者有长期神经和认知缺陷或癫痫。据报道,这些后遗症的发生与持续性癫痫发作、深度和长时间昏迷有关。本研究旨在确定苏丹中部儿童脑型疟疾出院时的情况,并识别出院时神经后遗症的潜在信息性预测因素。

方法

2000年至2004年疟疾传播季节期间,在苏丹中部的瓦德迈达尼、森纳尔和辛加医院进行了一项横断面前瞻性研究。疑似患有脑型疟疾的儿童由儿科医生进行检查,根据临床、实验室检查结果以及任何神经并发症进行诊断。使用SPSS进行单因素和多元回归模型分析,以评估临床和实验室检查结果与神经并发症发生之间的关联。

结果

在940名接受检查的儿童中,只有409名被诊断为脑型疟疾,平均年龄为6.1±3.3岁。与本研究相关的死亡率为14.2%(58例),幸存者(351例)中有18.2%(64例)有神经后遗症。通过单因素分析,去大脑强直或去皮层强直等异常姿势、局灶性惊厥以及昏迷持续时间>48小时是苏丹中部儿童脑型疟疾存活且伴有神经后遗症的显著预测因素。对这些变量进行多元逻辑回归模型拟合,显示预测儿童脑型疟疾伴有神经后遗症幸存者的敏感性为39.6%(R² = 0.396;p = 0.001)。

解读与结论

在苏丹中部,儿童脑型疟疾导致神经后遗症很常见。入院时对其进行预测、结合临床表现和实验室检查结果,可能会指导临床干预和适当管理,从而降低发病率并改善脑型疟疾的后果。

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