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粗放式系统下安格斯牧场饲养奶牛生长曲线的描述。

Description of the growth curve for Angus pasture-fed cows under extensive systems.

作者信息

Goldberg V, Ravagnolo O

出版信息

J Anim Sci. 2015 Sep;93(9):4285-90. doi: 10.2527/jas.2015-9208.

Abstract

Growth curves are useful for describing the sigmoid shape of an animal's weight pattern over time. The purpose of the present study was to describe, for the first time, a complete growth curve for pasture-fed Angus cows in Uruguay and to analyze the major fixed effects that affect the estimation of mature cow weight (CW). A total of 22,743 records from 5,284 cows belonging to 73 herds were used in the statistical analysis. Five nonlinear models (Brody, Gompertz, Von Bertalanffy, logistic, and Richards) and a 3-knot cubic spline function were fitted to model weight change across age. Body weights were recorded at birth, weaning, and 18 mo and as an adult (at 2.3-3.6, 3.6-4.6, 4.6 to 5.6, 5.6 to 6.6, and 6.6 to 8.1 yr). After preliminary analyses, the fixed effects included in the model to estimate CW were BCS, herd, year and month of measurement, and age of dam. The herd and BCS were the major significant sources of variation. The Richards model had the lowest values for Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and -2 log likelihood, with the asymptotic weight being 542 kg. The spline function was the model that fitted the data most closely to the observed weights followed by the Richards function. The Richards model gave better predictions of weights from birth to maturity than the other 4 nonlinear models, because these functions were shown to over- or underestimate weights at different ages in this beef cattle data set. The predicted curve showed that cows reach mature CW after 5 yr of age, which is the age commonly assumed as adult weight in beef cattle. Results form this analysis allowed the estimation of CW and rate of maturing and to take knowledge of the shape of growth curve for Angus females in Uruguay under extensive conditions, helping breeders to take selection decisions. In this way, breeders can optimize the management and efficiency for each production system.

摘要

生长曲线有助于描述动物体重随时间变化的S形模式。本研究的目的是首次描述乌拉圭放牧饲养的安格斯母牛的完整生长曲线,并分析影响成年母牛体重(CW)估计的主要固定效应。统计分析使用了来自73个牛群的5284头母牛的22743条记录。五个非线性模型(布罗迪模型、冈珀茨模型、冯·贝塔朗菲模型、逻辑斯蒂模型和理查兹模型)和一个三节点三次样条函数被用于模拟不同年龄阶段的体重变化。记录了出生时、断奶时、18月龄以及成年时(2.3至3.6岁、3.6至4.6岁、4.6至5.6岁、5.6至6.6岁以及6.6至8.1岁)的体重。经过初步分析,用于估计CW的模型中的固定效应包括体况评分(BCS)、牛群、测量年份和月份以及母牛年龄。牛群和BCS是主要的显著变异来源。理查兹模型的赤池信息准则、贝叶斯信息准则和-2对数似然值最低,渐近体重为542千克。样条函数是最符合观测体重数据的模型,其次是理查兹函数。与其他4个非线性模型相比,理查兹模型对从出生到成熟体重的预测更好,因为在这个肉牛数据集中,这些函数在不同年龄阶段表现出对体重的高估或低估。预测曲线表明,母牛在5岁时达到成年CW,这是肉牛通常被认为达到成年体重的年龄。该分析结果有助于估计CW和成熟速率,并了解乌拉圭粗放条件下安格斯母牛的生长曲线形状,帮助育种者做出选择决策。通过这种方式,育种者可以优化每个生产系统的管理和效率。

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