Riaz Irbaz Bin, Khan Muhammad Shahzeb, Riaz Haris, Goldberg Robert J
Department of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson.
Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, Pakistan.
Am J Med. 2016 Mar;129(3):339.e11-8. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2015.10.009. Epub 2015 Oct 29.
The number of meta-analyses published annually has increased more than 20-fold between 1994 (n = 386) and 2014 (n = 8203). In examining how much of this increase in meta-analysis publication has genuinely represented novel contributions to clinical medicine and public health, it became clear that there was an abundance of redundant and disorganized meta-analyses, creating confusion and generating considerable debate. Ironically, meta-analyses, which should prevent redundant research, have become a victim of it. Recently, 17 meta-analyses were published based on the results of only 3 randomized controlled trials that studied the role of transcatheter closure of patent foramen ovale for prevention of cryptogenic stroke. In our search of the published literature, we identified at least 10 topics that were the subject of 10 meta-analyses. In the context of overlapping meta-analyses, one questions what needs to be done to put this "runaway train" back on track. In this review we examine the practice of redundant meta-analyses and the reasons for its disturbing "popularity." The registration of systematic reviews should be mandatory in prospective registries, such as PROSPERO, and the PRISMA checklist should be updated to incorporate new evidence and mandate the reference of previously published reviews and rationale for any new study.
1994年(n = 386)至2014年(n = 8203)期间,每年发表的荟萃分析数量增长了20多倍。在研究荟萃分析发表数量的增加中有多少真正代表了对临床医学和公共卫生的新贡献时,很明显存在大量冗余和无序的荟萃分析,造成了混乱并引发了相当多的争论。具有讽刺意味的是,本应防止重复研究的荟萃分析却成了重复研究的受害者。最近,基于仅3项研究经导管封堵卵圆孔未闭预防不明原因卒中作用的随机对照试验结果,发表了17项荟萃分析。在我们检索已发表文献时,我们确定了至少10个主题,这些主题是10项荟萃分析的对象。在重叠荟萃分析的背景下,人们不禁要问需要做些什么才能让这列“失控的列车”重回正轨。在本综述中,我们研究了冗余荟萃分析的做法及其令人不安的“流行”原因。系统评价应在PROSPERO等前瞻性注册库中强制注册,PRISMA清单应更新以纳入新证据,并要求引用先前发表的综述以及任何新研究的理由。