Ioka Akiko, Inoue Masami, Yoneda Akihiro, Nakamura Tetsuro, Hara Junichi, Hashii Yoshiko, Sakata Naoki, Yamato Kazumi, Tsukuma Hideaki, Kawa Keisei
Center for Cancer Control and Statistics, Osaka Medical Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Diseases.
J Epidemiol. 2016;26(4):179-84. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20150054. Epub 2015 Nov 7.
In 2004, the Japanese government halted the 6-month mass screening program for neuroblastoma. We investigated whether its cessation had led to an increase not only in mortality due to this disease but also in the incidence of advanced-stage disease among older children.
Study subjects were neuroblastoma patients retrieved from the population-based Osaka Cancer Registry. Trends of incidence and mortality from neuroblastoma were analyzed by calendar year and birth cohort. Prognostic factors, including stage and v-myc avian myelocytomatosis viral oncogene neuroblastoma derived homolog (MYCN) oncogene status, were compared before and after the cessation of mass screening.
Age-standardized incidence rates in 2005-2009 (the cessation period of mass screening; 11.1 per million) were similar to those in 1975-1979 (the pre-screening period; 8.6 per million). Age-standardized mortality rates tended to decrease from 1975-1979 (4.0 per million) to 2005-2009 (2.7 per million) in parallel with the improvement in survival. Analysis by birth cohort indicated that the mortality rates in 2004-2005 (after cessation) for children 0-4 years of age were lower than those in 1975-1979 (O:E ratio 0.25; 95% confidence interval, 0.03-0.90). For children 1-9 years of age, there was a not significant difference in the distribution of stage, MYCN oncogene status, and DNA ploidy between 1991-2003 (the mass screening period) and 2004-2008 (after cessation).
The cessation of mass screening for neuroblastoma does not appear to have increased mortality due to this disease or incidence of advanced-stage disease among older children.
2004年,日本政府停止了为期6个月的神经母细胞瘤大规模筛查项目。我们调查了该项目的停止是否不仅导致了因这种疾病导致的死亡率上升,还导致了大龄儿童晚期疾病发病率的增加。
研究对象为从基于人群的大阪癌症登记处检索到的神经母细胞瘤患者。按历年和出生队列分析神经母细胞瘤的发病率和死亡率趋势。比较了大规模筛查停止前后的预后因素,包括分期和v-myc禽骨髓细胞瘤病毒癌基因神经母细胞瘤衍生同源物(MYCN)癌基因状态。
2005 - 2009年(大规模筛查停止期)的年龄标准化发病率(每百万11.1例)与1975 - 1979年(筛查前期;每百万8.6例)相似。随着生存率的提高,年龄标准化死亡率从1975 - 1979年(每百万4.0例)到2005 - 2009年(每百万2.7例)呈下降趋势。按出生队列分析表明,2004 - 2005年(停止后)0 - 4岁儿童的死亡率低于1975 - 1979年(观察值与预期值之比为0.25;95%置信区间,0.03 - 0.90)。对于1 - 9岁儿童,1991 - 2003年(大规模筛查期)和2004 - 2008年(停止后)之间在分期、MYCN癌基因状态和DNA倍体分布方面没有显著差异。
神经母细胞瘤大规模筛查的停止似乎并未增加因这种疾病导致较年长儿童的死亡率或晚期疾病的发病率。