Akinkuotu Adesola C, Cruz Stephanie M, Abbas Paulette I, Lee Timothy C, Welty Stephen E, Olutoye Oluyinka O, Cassady Christopher I, Mehollin-Ray Amy R, Ruano Rodrigo, Belfort Michael A, Cass Darrell L
Texas Children's Fetal Center, Houston, TX; Michael E. DeBakey Department of Surgery, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.
Texas Children's Fetal Center, Houston, TX; Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.
J Pediatr Surg. 2016 Jan;51(1):44-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2015.10.009. Epub 2015 Oct 22.
The purpose of this study was to compare the predication accuracy of a newly described postnatally-based clinical prediction model to fetal imaging-based predictors of mortality for infants with CDH.
We performed a retrospective review of all CDH patients treated at a comprehensive fetal care center from January 2004 to January 2014. Prenatal data reviewed included lung-to-head ratio (LHR), observed/expected-total fetal lung volume (O/E-TFLV), and percent liver herniation (%LH). Based on the postnatal prediction model, neonates were categorized as low, intermediate, and high risk of death. The primary outcome was 6-month mortality.
Of 176 CDH patients, 58 had a major cardiac anomaly, and 28 had a genetic anomaly. Patients with O/E-TFLV <35% and %LH >20% were at increased risk for mortality (44% and 36%, respectively). There was a significant difference in mortality between low, intermediate, and high-risk groups (4% vs. 22% vs. 51%; p<0.001). On multivariate regression, the O/E-TFLV and postnatal-based mortality risk score were the two independent predictors of 6-month mortality.
The CDH Study Group postnatal predictive model provides good discrimination among three risk groups in our patient cohort. The prenatal MRI-based O/E-TFLV is the strongest prenatal predictor of 6-month mortality in infants with CDH and will help guide prenatal counseling and discussions regarding fetal intervention and perinatal management.
本研究旨在比较一种新描述的基于出生后情况的临床预测模型与基于胎儿影像学的先天性膈疝(CDH)婴儿死亡率预测指标的预测准确性。
我们对2004年1月至2014年1月在一家综合性胎儿护理中心接受治疗的所有CDH患者进行了回顾性研究。回顾的产前数据包括肺头比(LHR)、观察到的/预期的胎儿肺总体积(O/E-TFLV)和肝脏疝出百分比(%LH)。根据出生后预测模型,将新生儿分为低、中、高死亡风险组。主要结局是6个月时的死亡率。
在176例CDH患者中,58例有严重心脏异常,28例有基因异常。O/E-TFLV<35%且%LH>20%的患者死亡风险增加(分别为44%和36%)。低、中、高风险组之间的死亡率有显著差异(4%对22%对51%;p<0.001)。在多因素回归分析中,O/E-TFLV和基于出生后的死亡风险评分是6个月死亡率的两个独立预测指标。
CDH研究组的出生后预测模型在我们的患者队列中对三个风险组有良好的区分能力。基于产前MRI的O/E-TFLV是CDH婴儿6个月死亡率最强的产前预测指标,将有助于指导产前咨询以及关于胎儿干预和围产期管理的讨论。