Waziri Salisu Ibrahim, Mohamed Nor Norashidah, Raja Abdullah Nik Mustapha, Adamu Peter
Universiti Putra Malaysia.
Glob J Health Sci. 2015 Sep 1;8(4):212-20. doi: 10.5539/gjhs.v8n4p212.
The productivity of countries around the globe is adversely affected by the health-related problems of their labour force. This study examined the effect of the prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) and life expectancy on the economic growth of 33 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over a period of 11 years (2002-2012). The study employed a dynamic panel approach as opposed to the static traditional approach utilised in the literature. The dynamic approach became eminent because of the fact that HIV/AIDS is a dynamic variable as its prevalence today depends on the previous years. The result revealed that HIV/AIDS is negatively correlated with economic growth in the region, with a coefficient of 0.014, and significant at the 1% level. That is, a 10% increase in HIV/AIDS prevalence leads to a 0.14% decrease in the GDP of the region. Tackling HIV/AIDS is therefore imperative to the developing Sub-Saharan African region and all hands must be on deck to end the menace globally.
全球各国的生产力受到其劳动力健康相关问题的不利影响。本研究考察了人类免疫缺陷病毒/获得性免疫缺陷综合征(HIV/AIDS)的流行率和预期寿命对33个撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家在11年期间(2002 - 2012年)经济增长的影响。该研究采用了动态面板方法,与文献中使用的静态传统方法不同。动态方法变得突出是因为HIV/AIDS是一个动态变量,其当前流行率取决于前几年。结果显示,HIV/AIDS与该地区的经济增长呈负相关,系数为0.014,在1%水平上显著。也就是说,HIV/AIDS流行率每增加10%,该地区的国内生产总值就会下降0.14%。因此,应对HIV/AIDS对撒哈拉以南非洲发展中地区至关重要,必须齐心协力在全球范围内消除这一威胁。