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一个发达亚热带城市15年间常见呼吸道病毒的住院发病率、死亡率及季节性情况

Hospitalization Incidence, Mortality, and Seasonality of Common Respiratory Viruses Over a Period of 15 Years in a Developed Subtropical City.

作者信息

Chan Paul K S, Tam Wilson W S, Lee Tsz Cheung, Hon Kam Lun, Lee Nelson, Chan Martin C W, Mok Hing Yim, Wong Martin C S, Leung Ting Fan, Lai Raymond W M, Yeung Apple C M, Ho Wendy C S, Nelson E Anthony S, Hui David S C

机构信息

Department of Microbiology (PKSC, MCWC, RWML, ACMY, WCSH), Stanley Ho Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases (PKSC, NL, DSCH), Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong; Alice Lee Centre for Nursing Studies, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore (WWST); Jockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care (WWST, MCSW), Department of Pediatrics (KLH, TFL, EASN) and Department of Medicine and Therapeutics (NL, DSCH), Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong; Hong Kong Observatory, Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China (TCL, HYM).

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2015 Nov;94(46):e2024. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000002024.

Abstract

Information on respiratory viruses in subtropical region is limited.Incidence, mortality, and seasonality of influenza (Flu) A/B, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), adenovirus (ADV), and parainfluenza viruses (PIV) 1/2/3 in hospitalized patients were assessed over a 15-year period (1998-2012) in Hong Kong.Male predominance and laterally transversed J-shaped distribution in age-specific incidence was observed. Incidence of Flu A, RSV, and PIV decreased sharply from infants to toddlers; whereas Flu B and ADV increased slowly. RSV conferred higher fatality than Flu, and was the second killer among hospitalized elderly. ADV and PIV were uncommon, but had the highest fatality. RSV, PIV 2/3 admissions increased over the 15 years, whereas ADV had decreased significantly. A "high season," mainly contributed by Flu, was observed in late-winter/early-spring (February-March). The "medium season" in spring/summer (April-August) was due to Flu and RSV. The "low season" in late autumn/winter (October-December) was due to PIV and ADV. Seasonality varied between viruses, but predictable distinctive pattern for each virus existed, and temperature was the most important associating meteorological variable.Respiratory viruses exhibit strong sex- and age-predilection, and with predictable seasonality allowing strategic preparedness planning. Hospital-based surveillance is crucial for real-time assessment on severity of new variants.

摘要

亚热带地区呼吸道病毒的相关信息有限。在香港,对15年期间(1998 - 2012年)住院患者中甲型/乙型流感(Flu)、呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)、腺病毒(ADV)及副流感病毒(PIV)1/2/3的发病率、死亡率和季节性进行了评估。观察到男性占优势以及年龄特异性发病率呈横向J形分布。甲型流感、呼吸道合胞病毒和副流感病毒的发病率从婴儿到幼儿急剧下降;而乙型流感和腺病毒则缓慢上升。呼吸道合胞病毒的致死率高于流感,是住院老年人中的第二大致死因素。腺病毒和副流感病毒不常见,但致死率最高。在这15年中,呼吸道合胞病毒、副流感病毒2/3的入院率有所上升,而腺病毒则显著下降。在冬末/初春(2月 - 3月)观察到一个“高发季”,主要由流感导致。春夏季(4月 - 8月)的“中发季”是由流感和呼吸道合胞病毒引起的。深秋/冬季(10月 - 12月)的“低发季”是由副流感病毒和腺病毒导致的。不同病毒的季节性有所不同,但每种病毒都有可预测的独特模式,温度是最重要的相关气象变量。呼吸道病毒表现出强烈的性别和年龄偏好,且具有可预测的季节性,这有助于制定战略防范计划。基于医院的监测对于实时评估新变种的严重程度至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2a0a/4652819/b5d348867543/medi-94-e2024-g002.jpg

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