You Joyce H S, Ming Wai-kit, Chan Paul K S
BMC Infect Dis. 2014 Nov 25;14:618. doi: 10.1186/s12879-014-0618-9.
Cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained by quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV) versus trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) in Hong Kong elderly were estimated over 9 seasons.
TIV-unmatched influenza B infection rates with QIV versus TIV were estimated by an epidemiology model. Model parameters included percentages of influenza B lineages in circulation, influenza B-associated hospital admission, age-specific population, vaccine coverage and effectiveness. Incremental cost per QALY gained (ICER) by QIV versus TIV were estimated from Hong Kong's societal perspective.
Mean reduction in influenza B infection rate was 191.3 (95%CI 45.1-337.5) per 100,000 population aged ≥65 years. Highest cost savings and QALYs gained by QIV occurred in 2007 with high percentage of TIV-unmatched strain (92.9%) for age groups 65-79 years (USD266,473 and 22.8 QALYs) and ≥80 years (USD483,461 and 27.3 QALYs). ICERs of QIV were below willingness-to-pay for age group 65-79 years in 6, 5 and 3 years when QIV cost + USD1 + USD2 and + USD5 more than TIV, respectively. For age group ≥80 years, ICERs of QIV were below willingness-to-pay in 7 and 5 years when QIV cost + USD1 and + USD5, correspondingly.
Acceptance of QIV to be cost-effective in Hong Kong elderly was subject to QIV unit cost and percentage of circulating TIV-unmatched influenza B lineages.
在9个季节中估算了香港老年人接种四价流感疫苗(QIV)与三价流感疫苗(TIV)相比所获得的成本及质量调整生命年(QALY)。
通过流行病学模型估算QIV与TIV相比未匹配的乙型流感感染率。模型参数包括流行的乙型流感谱系百分比、乙型流感相关的住院率、特定年龄人群、疫苗接种率和有效性。从香港社会角度估算QIV与TIV相比每获得一个QALY的增量成本(ICER)。
在年龄≥65岁的人群中,每10万人中乙型流感感染率平均降低191.3(95%CI 45.1 - 337.5)。2007年QIV节省的成本最高且获得的QALY最多,65 - 79岁年龄组(266,473美元和22.8个QALY)以及≥80岁年龄组(483,461美元和27.3个QALY)中TIV未匹配毒株的比例较高(92.9%)。当QIV比TIV分别贵1美元、2美元和5美元时,QIV的ICER在6年、5年和3年低于65 - 79岁年龄组的支付意愿。对于≥80岁年龄组,当QIV分别贵1美元和5美元时,QIV的ICER在7年和5年低于支付意愿。
在香港老年人中,QIV是否具有成本效益取决于QIV的单位成本以及流行的TIV未匹配的乙型流感谱系比例。