Hass Zach, DePalma Glen, Craig Bruce A, Xu Huiping, Sands Laura P
Department of Statistics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana.
Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis.
Gerontologist. 2017 Apr 1;57(2):206-210. doi: 10.1093/geront/gnv142.
This study determined whether self-reports of unmet need for help with activities of daily living (ADL) disabilities are prognostic of emergency department (ED) utilization.
This prospective cohort study of 2,194 community-living, ADL-disabled subjects combined 2004 National Long-Term Care Survey responses with linked Medicare data through 2005. A negative binomial count model was computed to assess the association between unmet ADL need and number of subsequent ED admissions while statistically adjusting for predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics associated with ED admissions among older adults.
The adjusted annual incidence rate (IR) for ED admissions was 19% higher for unmet versus met need (IR = 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.00-1.40; p = .047). The IR for ED admissions for falls and injuries was higher for those with unmet ADL versus met ADL need (IR = 1.43; 95% CI = 1.10-1.86), and trended toward significance for ED admissions for skin breakdown (IR = 2.02; 95% CI = 0.97-2.88), but was not significant for ED admissions for dehydration (IR = 1.13; 95% CI= 0.79-1.63).
Unmet ADL need is prognostic of ED admissions, especially for falls and injuries. Future research is needed to determine whether resolution of unmet ADL need reduces ED utilization.
本研究旨在确定日常生活活动(ADL)残疾方面未满足的帮助需求的自我报告是否可预测急诊科(ED)的就诊情况。
这项对2194名社区居住的ADL残疾受试者的前瞻性队列研究,将2004年全国长期护理调查的回复与截至2005年的相关医疗保险数据相结合。计算了负二项式计数模型,以评估未满足的ADL需求与后续ED入院次数之间的关联,同时对与老年人ED入院相关的易患因素、促成因素和需求特征进行统计学调整。
未满足需求者的ED入院调整后年发病率(IR)比满足需求者高19%(IR = 1.19;95%置信区间[CI] = 1.00 - 1.40;p = 0.047)。ADL需求未满足者因跌倒和受伤导致的ED入院IR高于ADL需求满足者(IR = 1.43;95% CI = 1.10 - 1.86),因皮肤破损导致的ED入院呈显著趋势(IR = 2.02;95% CI = 0.97 - 2.88),但因脱水导致的ED入院无显著差异(IR = 1.13;95% CI = 0.79 - 1.63)。
未满足的ADL需求可预测ED入院情况,尤其是跌倒和受伤方面。需要进一步研究以确定未满足的ADL需求得到解决是否会降低ED就诊率。