Gordon R
Department of Botany, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
J Sex Marital Ther. 1989 Spring;15(1):5-30. doi: 10.1080/00926238908412844.
Condom failure rates for HIV are substantially greater than for pregnancy, even for highly motivated people who may reach the limit set by allowed manufacturing imperfections. This makes condoms ineffective for lifelong protection from HIV-infected sexual partners; therefore, in general, condoms provide inadequate risk reduction for the individual. Nevertheless, they are sufficiently effective that if everyone used condoms, the AIDS epidemic would stop. Quantitative public health goals to reduce the "reproductive rate" of HIV from an estimated 4-12 people infected per infected person to below 1 are needed. Government and scientific testing of condoms could be improved statistically and by utilizing relevant physics.
避孕套预防艾滋病病毒的失败率远高于预防怀孕，即使对于那些可能达到允许的制造缺陷所设定极限的积极性很高的人也是如此。这使得避孕套无法为个体提供终身预防感染艾滋病病毒性伴侣的有效保护；因此，总体而言，避孕套为个体降低风险的效果并不理想。然而，它们的有效性足以使如果每个人都使用避孕套，艾滋病流行就会停止。需要制定量化的公共卫生目标，将艾滋病病毒的“繁殖率”从估计的每例感染者感染4至12人降至1人以下。可以通过统计学方法并利用相关物理学原理来改进政府对避孕套的科学检测。
