Del Vicario Michela, Bessi Alessandro, Zollo Fabiana, Petroni Fabio, Scala Antonio, Caldarelli Guido, Stanley H Eugene, Quattrociocchi Walter
Laboratory of Computational Social Science, Networks Department, IMT Alti Studi Lucca, 55100 Lucca, Italy;
IUSS Institute for Advanced Study, 27100 Pavia, Italy;
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Jan 19;113(3):554-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1517441113. Epub 2016 Jan 4.
The wide availability of user-provided content in online social media facilitates the aggregation of people around common interests, worldviews, and narratives. However, the World Wide Web (WWW) also allows for the rapid dissemination of unsubstantiated rumors and conspiracy theories that often elicit rapid, large, but naive social responses such as the recent case of Jade Helm 15--where a simple military exercise turned out to be perceived as the beginning of a new civil war in the United States. In this work, we address the determinants governing misinformation spreading through a thorough quantitative analysis. In particular, we focus on how Facebook users consume information related to two distinct narratives: scientific and conspiracy news. We find that, although consumers of scientific and conspiracy stories present similar consumption patterns with respect to content, cascade dynamics differ. Selective exposure to content is the primary driver of content diffusion and generates the formation of homogeneous clusters, i.e., "echo chambers." Indeed, homogeneity appears to be the primary driver for the diffusion of contents and each echo chamber has its own cascade dynamics. Finally, we introduce a data-driven percolation model mimicking rumor spreading and we show that homogeneity and polarization are the main determinants for predicting cascades' size.
在线社交媒体中用户提供内容的广泛可得性促进了人们围绕共同兴趣、世界观和叙事的聚集。然而,万维网(WWW)也使得未经证实的谣言和阴谋论得以迅速传播,这些谣言和阴谋论往往引发迅速、大规模但幼稚的社会反应,比如最近的“翡翠头盔15”事件——一场简单的军事演习竟被视为美国新内战的开端。在这项工作中,我们通过全面的定量分析来探讨虚假信息传播的决定因素。具体而言,我们关注脸书用户如何消费与两种不同叙事相关的信息:科学新闻和阴谋论新闻。我们发现,尽管科学故事和阴谋论故事的消费者在内容消费模式上相似,但级联动态有所不同。对内容的选择性接触是内容传播的主要驱动力,并导致形成同质化群体,即“回音室”。事实上,同质性似乎是内容传播的主要驱动力,每个回音室都有其自身的级联动态。最后,我们引入一个模仿谣言传播的数据驱动渗流模型,并表明同质性和两极分化是预测级联规模的主要决定因素。