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I型糖尿病患者抗胰岛素自身抗体阳性亲属进展为糖尿病的生命表分析。

Life-table analysis of progression to diabetes of anti-insulin autoantibody-positive relatives of individuals with type I diabetes.

作者信息

Ziegler A G, Ziegler R, Vardi P, Jackson R A, Soeldner J S, Eisenbarth G S

机构信息

Joslin Diabetes Center, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA 02215.

出版信息

Diabetes. 1989 Oct;38(10):1320-5. doi: 10.2337/diab.38.10.1320.

DOI:10.2337/diab.38.10.1320
PMID:2676660
Abstract

Cytoplasmic islet cell antibody-negative (ICA-; less than 20 Juvenile Diabetes Foundation units, n = 1670) and ICA+ (n = 42) first-degree relatives of type I (insulin-dependent) diabetic individuals were studied for competitive insulin autoantibodies (CIAAs) with a radioassay. Overall, 3.7% of first-degree relatives (64 of 1712) were CIAA+. Of ICA- relatives, 2.7% (45 of 1670) exceeded the upper limit of our normal CIAA range (greater than 39 nU/ml), and 45% (19 of 42) of ICA+ relatives exceeded this normal range. Follow-up serums for repeat CIAA determination have been obtained from 16 of the nondiabetic CIAA+/ICA- individuals (time between samples, 0.4-5.8 yr). Fourteen of these 16 (87%) CIAA+/ICA- relatives were found to still be positive on follow-up, and 2 of the relatives who were positive on the first determination were negative on their follow-up test. With a mean follow-up of approximately 2 yr, 4 of 45 (9%) of the CIAA+/ICA- relatives, 5 of 23 (22%) of the ICA+/CIAA- relatives, and 12 of 19 (63%) of the CIAA+/ICA+ relatives developed diabetes. Life-table analysis indicated that, overall, 53% of CIAA+ relatives become diabetic after 5 yr of follow-up versus 65% of ICA+ relatives. Also by life-table analysis, the predicted risk after 5 yr of follow-up for progression to diabetes is 17% for CIAA+/ICA- relatives, 42% for ICA+/CIAA- relatives, and 77% for CIAA+/ICA+ relatives. The highest rate of progression to diabetes was found in ICA+ relatives with CIAA levels greater than 150 nU/ml (100% projected to be diabetic within 5 yr, P less than .008 vs. ICA+/CIAA- relatives).

摘要

采用放射免疫分析法对1型(胰岛素依赖型)糖尿病患者的1670名细胞质胰岛细胞抗体阴性(ICA-;小于20个青少年糖尿病基金会单位)和42名ICA阳性的一级亲属进行了竞争性胰岛素自身抗体(CIAA)研究。总体而言,1712名一级亲属中有3.7%(64名)为CIAA阳性。在ICA阴性的亲属中,2.7%(1670名中的45名)超过了我们正常CIAA范围的上限(大于39 nU/ml),而ICA阳性亲属中有45%(42名中的19名)超过了这个正常范围。已从16名非糖尿病CIAA阳性/ICA阴性个体中获取了用于重复CIAA测定的随访血清(样本间隔时间为0.4 - 5.8年)。这16名CIAA阳性/ICA阴性亲属中有14名(87%)在随访时仍为阳性,首次测定为阳性的2名亲属在随访测试时为阴性。平均随访约2年,CIAA阳性/ICA阴性亲属中的45名中有4名(9%)、ICA阳性/CIAA阴性亲属中的23名中有5名(22%)以及CIAA阳性/ICA阳性亲属中的19名中有12名(63%)患了糖尿病。生命表分析表明,总体而言,随访5年后,53%的CIAA阳性亲属患糖尿病,而ICA阳性亲属为65%。同样通过生命表分析,随访5年后进展为糖尿病的预测风险,CIAA阳性/ICA阴性亲属为17%,ICA阳性/CIAA阴性亲属为42%,CIAA阳性/ICA阳性亲属为77%。在CIAA水平大于150 nU/ml的ICA阳性亲属中,糖尿病进展率最高(预计5年内100%患糖尿病,与ICA阳性/CIAA阴性亲属相比,P小于0.008)。

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