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日本烧炭自杀流行的时空演变

Spatial and temporal evolution of the epidemic of charcoal-burning suicide in Japan.

作者信息

Yoshioka Eiji, Saijo Yasuaki, Kawachi Ichiro

机构信息

Department of Health Science, Asahikawa Medical University, Midorigaoka-higashi 2-1-1-1, Asahikawa, Hokkaido, 078-8510, Japan.

Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Kresge Building 7th Floor, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.

出版信息

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2016 Jun;51(6):857-68. doi: 10.1007/s00127-016-1172-0. Epub 2016 Jan 27.

Abstract

PURPOSE

An epidemic of carbon monoxide poisoning suicide by burning charcoal occurred in Hong Kong and Taiwan. An epidemic also emerged in Japan from February 2003 and resulted in an increase of 10-20 % in overall suicide rates in younger adults (aged <45 years) in the mid-2000s. We investigated the spatial and temporal evolution of the epidemic to assess its impact on the epidemiology of suicide in Japan.

METHODS

Mortality data were obtained from the official vital statistics of Japan. Smoothed standardized mortality ratios of charcoal-burning and non-charcoal-burning suicide were estimated for the period 2003-2013 using Bayesian hierarchical models. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to analyze secular trends in suicide rates by gender, method used and geographic location between 1999 and 2013.

RESULTS

Suicide by burning charcoal rose sharply in the mid-2000s and was not accompanied by a simultaneous decline in alternative methods. The epidemic of charcoal-burning suicide in Japan showed a pronounced spatial pattern, being concentrated in rural prefectures particularly among males. For men but not women, the epidemic contributed to the widening of urban-rural disparities in suicide rates (higher rates in rural areas).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results differ from previous research in other Asian countries (e.g., Taiwan), where the epidemic of charcoal-burning suicide emerged more prominently in urban areas. In Japan, the introduction and diffusion of charcoal burning contributed to a real excess in suicide rates, as well as a widening of the urban/rural disparity in suicide.

摘要

目的

香港和台湾曾发生燃烧木炭导致一氧化碳中毒自杀的流行情况。2003年2月起日本也出现了这种情况,导致21世纪中期年轻成年人(年龄<45岁)的总体自杀率上升了10%-20%。我们调查了这一流行情况的时空演变,以评估其对日本自杀流行病学的影响。

方法

死亡率数据来自日本官方人口动态统计。使用贝叶斯分层模型估计了2003年至2013年期间燃烧木炭自杀和非燃烧木炭自杀的平滑标准化死亡率比。进行了连接点回归分析,以分析1999年至2013年期间按性别、自杀方法和地理位置划分的自杀率长期趋势。

结果

燃烧木炭自杀在21世纪中期急剧上升,且未伴随其他自杀方法的同时下降。日本燃烧木炭自杀的流行呈现出明显的空间模式,集中在农村地区,尤其是男性。对于男性而非女性,这种流行导致了自杀率城乡差距的扩大(农村地区自杀率更高)。

结论

我们的结果与其他亚洲国家(如台湾)先前的研究不同,在那些国家,燃烧木炭自杀的流行在城市地区更为突出。在日本,燃烧木炭的出现和传播导致了自杀率的实际上升,以及自杀方面城乡差距的扩大。

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